November 16th - NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 16 November 2021
⏱️ 13 minutes
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Summary
NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion for November 16th, 2021
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everyone. |
| 0:03.2 | The simple handicap for Tuesday, November 16th. |
| 0:06.2 | Thank you for making me a part of your morning week 10 in the rearview mirror. |
| 0:10.6 | Moving on to NFL week 11 officially this Tuesday morning, |
| 0:14.2 | looking ahead to Thursday with the New England Patriots on the road at the Atlanta Falcons. |
| 0:19.1 | This one was New England minus 4, minus 05 on the look ahead, opened slightly lower than that, |
| 0:26.3 | and we've seen this thing move consistently north towards 7. |
| 0:29.5 | New England, 6.5 point favorites minus 115 at BOL this morning, 6.5 minus 108 at Pinnacle. |
| 0:37.4 | That's essentially representing the exact same thing. |
| 0:40.0 | We're seeing Fandual Draft Kings, Superbook Sports, all of the major apps across the U.S. |
| 0:46.7 | moving up to six and a half. |
| 0:47.9 | And a lot of this is on the news of Cordell Patterson dealing with the high ankle spring, |
| 0:53.2 | going to miss a couple of games. |
| 0:54.6 | He is vital to that Falcon's offense in every way. |
| 0:58.4 | And look, where this number is, before the injury, there was no question that it was borderline inflated. |
| 1:06.3 | And it was very difficult to get to this game using season- long numbers from respected sites, a lot of respected power rankings. |
| 1:15.3 | You couldn't get to six here. |
| 1:17.2 | You could get to four. |
| 1:18.5 | You can get to four and a half maybe, but no one was getting the six or six and a half. |
| 1:22.6 | And so there's no question that's a touch inflated. |
| 1:24.9 | But what does the value of five become? |
| 1:30.0 | And now you take Patterson out of the offense for Atlanta. That downgrades them slightly too. So I think we're getting closer |
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