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Wall Street Breakfast

No landing in a growth world, corporate credit bullishness

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 16 January 2025

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Eagle Point Founder and CEO Tom Majewski details the billions of CLO inflows into ETFs and what happens when that changes (0:15). No landing in a growth world, bullish outlook for corporate credit (2:25). This is an excerpt from a recent Investing Experts episode.

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Tom Mujski from Eagle Point. It's really great to have you on Seeking Alpha.

0:16.0

There's such a preponderance of ETS, such a big part of the market right now.

0:21.6

What are your thoughts moving forward?

0:23.7

How do you navigate within that new paradigm, within that new reality of so many

0:30.7

ETFs?

0:31.2

How do you think about that moving forward as a CLO?

0:35.6

Sure.

0:35.9

Well, in the CLO market, today, ETFs own what I would approximate to be about

0:40.3

2% of the total amount of CLO's outstanding, principally concentrated at the AAA part of the

0:46.5

capital structure. So if we're down at the equity and double B part, we're down at the bottom.

0:51.7

We get the most return in a typical situation, but perhaps the

0:55.6

greatest, you know, greater risk of loss. These folks sit up at the top of the capital structure

1:00.3

have, I don't believe there's ever been a CLO AAA that failed to repay principal or even fail to

1:06.5

pay timely interest. So a different risk profile, certainly the price of the securities can move up and down.

1:11.6

What we've seen so far, in general, are lots and lots of inflows into the ETF world for CLOs.

1:18.7

I think research I read said over $10 billion just in 2024 alone. So that's good, actually, for

1:26.1

ECC in one way in that that's creating a lot of new demand for CLO

1:29.9

AAAs. And as we're issued worthy equity, we like the spread on AAAs to be as low as possible,

1:36.3

because therefore we get more equity distributions to us, which we like. Now one day, that will

1:41.1

change. One day, these ETFs will have outflows, and investors will say, you know, for whatever

1:47.1

reason, decide to take their money out of the CLO ETF, AAA ETFs.

1:52.4

And those ETFs will have no choice but to sell, not because the portfolio manager is making

...

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