Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's

market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis.

Hello, today is Sunday February 2nd, and I'm your host, Kim Kong.

That's right, what Chuck, chuckers.

It's Groundhog Day.

Get up and check my hog out there.

Yeah.

Sweet, sweet.

Come here, ground.

Go around.

Go ahead.

That's right, it is Groundhog Day.

And first of all, a spoiler alert.

Pung Satani Phil saw his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter. What does that have to do with the

stock market? More than you might think. A Groundhog Day bump is an actual thing, and stocks are

not getting it in 2025. Sava Shanaev of Northumbria University found that stock market

returns are 2.78% higher when Phil forecasts in early spring. The study compared a century of Wall Street

returns against the annual predictions of the incarnations of Phil, noting that investors get

irrationally optimistic over Phil's early spring predictions. Some investors are genuinely

superstitious, if only on a subconscious level, Shenev told the Harvard Business Review.

Others may not be, but are swayed by the shift in public sentiment that often accompanies cultural events like this one.

Still others may be crafting investment strategies according to how they think superstitious

...