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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

NFL Market Rundown for Thursday September 5th, 2024

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 5 September 2024

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Simple Handicap for Wednesday September 5th, 2024

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everybody, the simple handicap for Thursday, September 5th, and what a beautiful Thursday it is.

0:04.5

My goodness. I hope your Thursday morning's off to a fantastic start, because everybody,

0:08.4

we've got football back on the TV tonight. Chiefs Ravens kick us off. What a glorious day.

0:13.8

We were finally back to football. It was a massive Wednesday yesterday, and if you listened to Long,

0:17.9

they participated in any way. I appreciate it very much.

0:21.0

The first week one preview live stream went live on the RASPix YouTube channel at 9 a.m. Pacific time. If you're listening to the show this morning, it is in your podcast feed if you want to go back and listen to it. Believe it or not, I'm sure you believe it by now. You've been listening to me every morning. I went downhill 92 minutes solo really off the top of my head going through each and every game.

0:40.5

So you get a lot of thoughts in that podcast episode. If you're watching this morning on YouTube, you can go down to the channel. There will be a link to take you over to that entire preview. There's timestamps, whether you're listening on the podcast feed, watching on YouTube, you can jump game to game and get everything that you need to know about each game heading into week one. I'll be honest. I'm ready for week two. And this happens every single year. I've been doing this 15 years. You think about week one for months. And then Monday comes, and Tuesday comes and Wednesday comes. You're talking about the same thing and the same thing and the same thing. Once you get into week too. It's like, okay, here's all the injuries that happen, here's all the box scores we can review, here's everything we can talk about, and it starts to become new content every day. So if you do feel like this is getting a little bit repetitive, welcome to week one. Be grateful we got football back. We got football the night. We got football tomorrow. and then my goodness, are we going to have a lot to talk about Sunday night and throughout the entirety of next week and the rest of the season?

1:31.1

So we're getting close for finally here, just a few more hours before football is on the TV. And let's start the market rundown for Thursday, talking about the game that airs tonight with Kansas City hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Very little movement in this game. We are seeing a

1:44.2

little bit of under money come back into the market. Not all 47s like it was yesterday morning.

1:50.3

This morning we have 46 at Pinnacle over as minus 116, which reads a lot more like minus 121,

1:55.9

which reads a lot more like the 46 and a halfs that we see at Fanduel as well as WPH. Everywhere else still 47,

2:03.2

but we're seeing Chris shaded to the under at the moment. Point spread is still Kansas City

2:07.7

3, even money from left to right across the screen. When it comes to action on the game,

2:12.3

I don't have anything on the side and the total. I will say I'm buying into the Isaiah

2:16.8

Pacheco hype with the anytime touchdown score price and the total. I will say I'm buying into the Isaiah Pacheco hype with the

2:18.1

anytime touchdown score price at plus 115. I look at where he has closed in recent games and

2:24.7

comparable prices in the Super Bowl. He was even money against Buffalo, Baltimore, Miami, the final

2:30.0

three games prior to the Super Bowl in the playoffs. Minus 115 plus 105, plus 105.

2:36.8

And then if you go all the way back prior to injury, Cincinnati, Las Vegas, minus 120,

2:41.9

minus 130.

2:43.0

So he was a guy that was priced consistently, even money, or even going off around minus

2:47.7

120, minus 130 last season.

...

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