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The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

NFL Draft Betting: The Ultimate Guide

The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

Sal Vetri

Sports, Fantasy Sports

5.0 β€’ 784 Ratings

πŸ—“οΈ 27 April 2022

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

NFL Draft Betting: The Ultimate Guide


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

What's good fellas, I've got a secret to share with you.

0:02.5

Your sports book does not want you to know about the NFL draft props.

0:06.5

They go as far as to admitting they have no chance at winning at the draft props.

0:11.1

They want you to keep betting sports that you have a less likely chance at like the NBA playoffs.

0:16.2

And I've put the ultimate list of draft props together for you ladies and fellas out there to take advantage of their insecurities starting with the bills to choose a defensive player with their first pick

0:25.1

at plus 105 odds the bill's biggest team needs are going to be cornerback defensive back

0:30.4

defensive tackle and offensive linemen now you can also throw in there that they can use another

0:34.0

wide receiver and or a running back and there's a slight chance they take breeze hall in the in the first round, but I'd say it's slight. It's unlikely a running back

0:40.6

goes in the first round. And what you're seeing on the screen here is a consensus big board of

0:44.4

hundreds of expert mock drafts and their opinions and them talking to the teams. And what you get

0:49.6

from this consensus is that the bills are most likely at pick 25 to go with Andrew Booth Jr.

0:54.8

out of Clemson, who is a defensive back.

0:56.4

But outside of that, if you look at the percentages here, that is a 15% chance.

1:00.9

There's an 11% chance to go with Trent McDuffie.

1:03.1

I doubt he's there at that pick, but still a defensive back.

1:05.8

And then yet another defensive back, and Elim has another 10% chance. So when you put all of these things together,

1:11.2

the bills overall have a 35.6% chance to go quarterback. That's just one defensive spot. They're most

1:16.6

likely to go corner, but defensive tackle is also an option for them. So I like these odds. I think

1:21.0

it's actually favored in my opinion that they should be taking a defense yet you're getting

1:24.5

plus odds on it. And then when you compare that to what the sports book is actually telling you the sports book is saying that corner is the favorite at a 40%

1:31.3

chance and those odds come out to plus 150 and then after that it cuts in half to just 22% chance

1:35.9

for a running back to be taken at plus 350 odds and an offensive lineman at an 18% chance more than

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