Next phase of AI takes shape 12/19/24
TechCheck
CNBC
4.5 • 66 Ratings
🗓️ 19 December 2024
⏱️ 10 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Micron shares taking a dive on week's second quarter guidance, but what the drop might not reflect |
| 0:06.3 | signs of strength for the chipmaker, especially in its AI-related business. |
| 0:11.1 | Dear Drubosa digs into the details for today's tech check, AD. |
| 0:15.4 | Hey, good morning, Leslie. |
| 0:16.5 | So the good news for AI Bulls is that Micron's disappointing quarter was not related to its AI business. |
| 0:22.0 | As Leslie just said, you saw 46% jump in data center, which now makes up more than half of all sales. |
| 0:27.2 | And the company said that AI and upgrades of traditional servers will grow server unit shipments more than expected this year. |
| 0:34.7 | The downside, though, is that where it was weak, consumer-related chip |
| 0:39.2 | markets like PCs and smartphones, that might signal that the AI upgrade device cycle is not |
| 0:44.9 | gaining the kind of momentum investors we're hoping for. And that could fit into this larger narrative |
| 0:49.7 | of a digestion phase. The idea that after the initial rush to adopt AI technologies and infrastructure, companies |
| 0:56.0 | and consumers are hitting a pause to digest them. |
| 0:59.9 | Devices are increasingly part of the AI story because features are supposed to drive upgrades, |
| 1:05.3 | progress in the models themselves, chat GPT, anthropic, Gemini. |
| 1:09.3 | They drive use cases. |
| 1:10.5 | But that's not happening the way that |
| 1:12.6 | some had hoped, and that could hit the whole ecosystem. JPM cited a recent survey that highlighted |
| 1:17.5 | lower momentum for the iPhone 16 cycle relative to the 15 on still lower awareness for Apple intelligence. |
| 1:24.5 | Those are its AI features. Now, that tracks with what we heard on Micron's |
| 1:28.5 | earnings call last night. Its mobile business unit saw a 19% quarter over quarter decline. PC's not |
| 1:34.6 | any better. Micron forecasting, that market to grow just around 5% in 2025, most of that coming |
| 1:40.2 | in the second half. Now, here's the takeaway. If AI device sales are not getting that |
... |
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