4.7 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 15 March 2023
⏱️ 13 minutes
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0:00.0 | Hello fellow Rebel capitalists hope you're well so I know the question on everyone's mind after this weekend |
0:05.6 | and the complete collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and signature and tons of others under extreme pressure right now on Monday as we speak. |
0:16.5 | This could be the Black Monday for regional banks, who knows. |
0:21.0 | But the question I'm sure on everyone's mind is will the entire banking system |
0:26.6 | fail? If not today, maybe some point in time throughout the rest of 2023. Maybe that's what the yield curve has been predicting. |
0:35.0 | Well, that's a very difficult answer, |
0:37.0 | but to get some insights, let's go right to my good buddy Joseph Wang's website. |
0:42.0 | He's Fed Guy 12 on Twitter. good buddy Joseph Wang's website. |
0:42.8 | He's Fed Guy 12 on Twitter. |
0:45.4 | And as most of you know, he used to run the New York trading desk |
0:50.1 | or the New York Fed's trading desk. |
0:51.8 | So he was actually in charge of doing quantitative easing |
0:55.9 | and quantitative tightening. |
0:57.9 | So he was interacting daily with the huge banks |
1:02.0 | and the primary dealers. |
1:04.0 | So let's go over to his website because he just came out with a post addressing this question. |
1:10.0 | Hidden to market and I can't recommend Joseph's Twitter and his blog enough, it's |
1:17.1 | Fed Guy.com. |
1:19.7 | So he says there's little risk of a crisis in the banking sector, but that does not mean there aren't |
1:25.5 | badly run banks. QE-Bazl 3 have made the banking sector significantly more liquid and |
1:30.5 | resilient such that a replay of the GFC is very unlikely. |
1:35.0 | I want to be specific, a replay of the GFC as far as this banking crisis with mortgage |
... |
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