News: Wall St. Experts Can't Believe What Just Happened...
Rebel Capitalist News
George Gammon
4.7 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 20 March 2023
⏱️ 10 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hello fellow rebel capitalists hope you're well. |
| 0:02.8 | So we just had something happen that only occurs when a recession, |
| 0:17.0 | if not economic depression, is imminent. As you know, on this channel we've been talking how it's almost inevitable once we get these yield curve inversions. But now, what |
| 0:26.9 | the market is telling us is that it is imminent. And really the experts the billionaires the hedge fund managers the guys on |
| 0:36.6 | Wall Street they really can't believe they're absolutely shocked at the price action in the yield curve. |
| 0:46.1 | So let's go right to Jeff Gunlock himself, |
| 0:49.5 | the Bond King talking about this. But I do think that one of the indicators that had not been single-in recession was the |
| 0:58.0 | yield curve was getting steeper and steeper. |
| 1:00.4 | And in all the past recessions going back for decades, the yield curve starts |
| 1:04.6 | de-inverting a few months before the recession comes. |
| 1:08.3 | And so since we were at peak conversion last week, |
| 1:12.0 | it was unlikely that we were going to go to recession even in the next four to six months. But at this point with the |
| 1:17.8 | de-inversion happening, the four to six month time window is starting to see much more plausible. |
| 1:24.0 | Okay, so let's stop it right there and let me explain exactly what he is saying. |
| 1:29.9 | Because this is what we all need to be paying attention to right now as we speak. |
| 1:37.1 | So Josh, let's go over to the chart, please, of the 10-year minus the two two year. So let's go ahead and make that bigger please so we can |
| 1:46.6 | see it. Okay, thank you. And I want to highlight right at the end what Josh is pointing out. This is the yield curve actually steepening. |
| 1:58.2 | So the delta between the two year and and the ten-year is decreasing. |
| 2:05.0 | Now what's important to recognize is that this always happens |
| 2:10.0 | right before we go into a recession. |
| 2:14.0 | But it always happens, because it can happen two different ways. |
| 2:18.0 | The yield curve can steepen by the 10-year Treasury moving up in relationship to the two-year or the two-year |
... |
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