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Rebel Capitalist News

News: This Systemically Important Asset Class May NEVER RECOVER

Rebel Capitalist News

George Gammon

Business, Investing

4.71.1K Ratings

🗓️ 21 April 2023

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello fellow Robo capitalists hope you're well. So a systemically important asset class.

0:06.7

You guys know what I'm referring to. Commercial real estate. It is going from bad to worse. Let's get right into this article from Zero Hedge

0:17.2

and you'll see what I am referring to.

0:20.0

Title Domino's are falling.

0:23.0

Brookfield defaults on a hundred and sixty one million dollars in debt for DC office buildings.

0:32.0

And as you guys know, this not only impacts commercial real estate, but it also likely impacts the bondholders and it impacts the banks because the banks have a lot of these loans on their balance

0:44.8

sheets, especially these regional banks.

0:48.3

And this is just a doom loop.

0:50.3

You guys listened to my interview yesterday, my good buddy Kenny McElroy, you guys remember us talking about these commercial

0:57.5

landlords, let's say, the guys that own these buildings, they've got to roll over this debt in two or three years. In fact I read an article today

1:05.3

that said in the next four or five years it's going to be 2.5 trillion dollars worth

1:11.0

these loans that need to be rolled over. Not only will they likely be at a higher interest rate,

1:16.1

but that's if they can get the debt at all because you got to put yourself in the position of a

1:21.0

banker, right? Let's say you got burned with commercial real estate and now

1:25.6

of a sudden this building owner, let's say Brookfield, comes back to you and says, hey, we need a loan,

1:32.2

we need to roll over our debt.

1:33.8

Yes, our occupancy rates are declining.

1:37.1

Yes, our vacancy rates are increasing.

1:39.3

Yes, our cash flow is down.

1:41.2

Yes, we're on the brink of collapse, but we need you to lend us some

1:45.4

money to roll over this debt. The bank's going to say absolutely not. We have

1:49.6

commercial real estate PTSD. We're not going to give you that liquidity.

...

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