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Rebel Capitalist News

News: This Chart Reveals When Stocks Are Likely To CRASH!

Rebel Capitalist News

George Gammon

Business, Investing

4.71.1K Ratings

🗓️ 11 July 2023

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello, Hello, Rebel Capital! Hope you're well. So Josh just brought to my attention a few charts that completely

0:07.5

blew my mind, and one of them in particular, I think, predicts when we could see a stock market crash.

0:16.5

So let's start by going right into a chart

0:20.2

of the 10-year Treasury,

0:22.3

minus the three-month Treasury.

0:24.5

So this would be a yield curve, not the twos and tens

0:27.8

that we usually look at it, but it would be the three-month and 10 years.

0:31.8

So you take the 10-year Treasury yield, you subtract the three month and 10 years. So you take the 10 year treasury yield, you

0:33.8

subtract the three month, therefore if you have a negative number, that

0:37.5

would mean the curve is inverted. So what is very important to recognize or to point out is this yield curve because this is what we're going to be using in the rest of the charts that we're going to highlight throughout the rest of this video we're going to dive into.

0:54.8

They focus on the three month tenure.

0:56.8

So the three month tenure officially inverted in October of 2022. I'm actually going to write that down. So go ahead and write that down or for those of you with a good memory, October 2022. That is a key date. Now let's go over to my email here and this is the first chart that Josh sent me.

1:24.4

We're gonna go to this guy's Twitter,

1:26.7

it's because I want to give him credit here,

1:28.2

where credit is due.

1:29.6

I don't know if he came up with these charts,

1:31.0

he did them himself, but are they're mind blowing you

1:35.0

guys are gonna love this so first what he did is he looked at the path of

1:40.8

continuing claims so this is unemployment claims with the government after the 10 year and three month inversion.

1:50.0

And he goes T plus 1, T plus U, so this would be number of months.

1:54.7

And then he goes back and looks at the specific recessions, 1969, 1973, 80, 89, 2006, or actually not recessions happened then, but he's specifically talking

2:11.1

about when the 10 month,

...

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