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Rebel Capitalist News

News: REPO MARKET Just Gave Huge Warning (Hasn't Done This Since 2019)

Rebel Capitalist News

George Gammon

Business, Investing

4.71.1K Ratings

🗓️ 3 October 2024

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Link to the referenced chart https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/reference-rates/sofr The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.✅ Come to Rebel Capitalist Live here https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/   ✅ Check out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/pro   ✅Rebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello, fellow Rebel Capitals. Hope you're well. So we've got big news in the repo market.

0:05.0

We haven't seen anything like this since, you guessed it, 2019, more specifically September of 2019 when we had that huge blow up in the repo market

0:19.8

where Jerome Powell had to come in and start doing quantitative easing once again.

0:25.8

So the question is, what's going on and what is Jerome Powell going to do about it,

0:31.0

if anything? And then why is it it happening I think that's probably the biggest

0:34.7

question why on earth are we seeing these huge spikes in repo rates not spiking to the

0:40.0

level that we saw in September of 2019 that was 10% but they are

0:45.9

spiking to the greatest degree to which we have seen since then and that

0:49.8

includes the banking crisis of March 2023.

0:55.0

Let's get right into the data and check it out, guys.

0:57.6

This is a chart from the New York Fed.

1:01.0

And this actually is a really cool interactive chart. I got to give him a quick hat tip there.

1:06.9

So just for you who, just for the people that might be new to the channel, repo transaction is just simply you have collateral, you want to borrow money and so you say, hey, bank or financial institution, I will pledge this Treasury and for you to give me money and then we'll just swap back in three days or overnight so we'll just swap back tomorrow.

1:30.0

It's very short-term funding, dollar funding market and what's interesting is, especially

1:39.7

with this sofa rate, which is what we're going to look at right now.

1:43.3

It's just backed by treasuries.

1:45.1

So why if it's backed by treasuries,

1:49.3

would the interest rate spike?

1:51.3

This is what we really have to think through. And in order to do that, we've got to go back in time and say, well, when has it spiked in the past?

2:00.0

Okay, starting off right here, this is straight from the Fed's website.

2:03.6

The secured overnight financing rate, Sopher, and Sopher is based on what's happening in the repo market.

2:10.9

That's why we're focusing on repo, but then this specific chart is

...

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