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Rebel Capitalist News

News: New Inflation Data Suggests Peter Schiff Is Right...

Rebel Capitalist News

George Gammon

Business, Investing

4.71.1K Ratings

🗓️ 13 December 2022

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello for the rebel capitalists, hope you're well.

0:02.1

So my good buddy Peter Schiff has been saying since day one

0:06.8

that the Fed isn't going to be able to tame inflation

0:10.7

until they take rates to where they're positive in real terms.

0:16.0

So if inflation is running at 7.7, that means the Fed would have to take fed funds up to 8%, let's say in order to bring inflation back to its knees to tame

0:28.3

inflation as they say now this is not my base case as you guys know. I'm kind of in the dis-inflation camp at least for the next and I'll call it into Q1 or Q2 of 2023, but we just had an inflation report come out today.

0:46.8

Now this is not the CPI, this is the PPI numbers, but they surprise to to the upside indicating that maybe we might not be in for as much

0:58.5

disinflation as George Gamin thought.

1:01.8

Maybe, and I'm open being wrong of course. So let's dive into the

1:06.7

story and check out what is going on with inflation. Here we go. Headline wholesale prices rose 0.3% in November. More than expected

1:20.9

despite hopes that inflation is cooling.

1:23.8

And before I did this story, believe it or not,

1:27.4

I actually did a little bit of research.

1:29.2

And I looked at the 10-year Treasury,

1:31.4

and the 10-year Treasury is actually up as far as the

1:34.2

yield on this news. So it's not just the market, you know, that he's talking heads

1:40.6

or analysts being surprised, it's actually the bond market and the bond market is what I personally like to pay attention to.

1:48.0

So the PPI or producer price index, a measure of what companies get for their products in the pipeline.

1:56.0

So this is the input costs to what the retail investor, the products the retail investor

2:02.0

buys, increased 0.3% for the month and 7.4% from a year ago, a 38% surge

2:10.4

in wholesale vegetable prices help push up the cost index by 3.3% offsetting an identical 3.3% decline in energy costs.

2:21.2

Markets now will turn their attention to the more closely watched

...

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