News: Housing Data Shows Bubble Much Larger Than 2008
Rebel Capitalist News
George Gammon
4.7 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 16 January 2023
⏱️ 20 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hello fellow rebel capitalists hope you're well wanted to dive into some housing data. |
| 0:06.7 | I think many of you understand that the current market is in a massive bubble. |
| 0:14.0 | It's been expensive for a long time though. |
| 0:16.2 | Been expensive for, I would argue many years. |
| 0:19.7 | I started to sell my homes in the United States, the portfolio that I built in 2012. I started to sell in 2018 and I sold the last property I announced on this channel. I sold the last property about a year ago, something like that. |
| 0:35.9 | And the prices still went up after I sold. Of course I was happy with that no problem because I'm not trying to time the top of the bottom just |
| 0:44.6 | trying to buy things when they're cheap and sell them when they're expensive and I |
| 0:48.4 | was able to do that with my US real estate but let's get into some more of the actual data. |
| 0:56.7 | We understand that housing is in a bubble, but to what degree has it come down? |
| 1:01.9 | What can we expect with the real estate market in nominal terms and real terms going into 2023. |
| 1:09.0 | And to analyze some of the data and the charts, want to go over to Zero Hedge and an article from someone who I think is incredibly underrated, Lance Roberts, and I would strongly suggest following him on Twitter and also he |
| 1:26.9 | teams up with my good buddy Adam Taggart on the Wealthion podcast and I think they do kind of a market summary every Saturday |
| 1:36.0 | which I would strongly suggest but Lance is really a sharp dude and so let's go over this article that he posted on Zerohead. So the title is |
| 1:46.6 | Current Housing Price bubble, makes 2008 look quaint. And yeah, it is true that if you and I love how people say oh we're not in a bubble we're not in a bubble. But you asked them well were we in a bubble in 2006? Well, of course. Well, yeah, of course we were in a bubble then. Everybody knows that. |
| 2:07.0 | Well, if we were in a bubble in 2006, how are we not in a bubble now when a price is adjusted for inflation are even higher. |
| 2:15.6 | Price to income ratios, higher. |
| 2:18.8 | Pretty much every single metric and they said, well, supplies down. |
| 2:21.2 | Well, okay, I get that that but that doesn't mean that that housing |
| 2:25.6 | prices aren't far higher relative to incomes, which I think is the most |
| 2:31.4 | important factor, not the only factor, but definitely the most, the one that you have to prioritize when doing a proper analysis. |
| 2:41.0 | That's for sure. Let's keep going reading the article. So home prices start to correct as interest rates rose sharply in 2022. |
| 2:50.0 | So he's talked about over the last three or four months. |
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