News: Here's How INFLATION Could Trigger Next GFC
Rebel Capitalist News
George Gammon
4.7 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 27 December 2022
⏱️ 12 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hello fellow rebel capitalists hope you're well. I wanted to go over an idea that I think might be a blind spot for a lot of us me included and I think it's going to be very important to understand how this works or to give this some thought to determine what the 20-20s might look like. |
| 0:22.0 | Because although I think we're going into a period of |
| 0:25.1 | disinflation going into 2023 and depending on how bad of recession we get it |
| 0:31.9 | could even be deflation I think overall the decade is going to be an |
| 0:37.3 | inflationary decade very similar to the 1970s or the 1940s. |
| 0:44.3 | And going back to the last GFC, |
| 0:48.1 | we know that the big problem, or one of the big problems, |
| 0:51.7 | was there was all this debt and we didn't have the cash flow to service the debt. |
| 0:56.6 | If you want to look at it more specific terms, we had all these people that took out mortgages, |
| 1:01.7 | they couldn't pay. |
| 1:04.0 | And when those rates adjusted, |
| 1:07.0 | the default rate went up to a point, |
| 1:09.5 | and although it didn't go up very much, |
| 1:11.1 | but it did go up to a point where a lot of the mortgage-backed securities or mortgage-backed |
| 1:16.4 | sausages which was basically these mortgages that are packaged and |
| 1:20.6 | bundled and securitized and then sold to Wall Street. |
| 1:24.8 | They pawn them off on pension funds or, you know, |
| 1:28.4 | whomever is just searching for yield. |
| 1:30.8 | The problem is the default rate went up to a point where a lot of these mortgage-backed securities lost value, significant value. |
| 1:42.6 | And because they're on the balance sheet of everyone in their mother, |
| 1:46.9 | and because they were used probably more importantly, |
| 1:50.2 | in the Eurodollar market as collateral, we saw the whole system implode because all of a sudden |
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