Hello fellow rebel capital soap you're well so what on the Fed governors just came out on

CNBC and revealed what the Fed really thinks about the economy not what they're talking about when they're in public and

doing these press conferences and in the mainstream media, but when they're behind

closed doors, not just with Fed Minutes, when they're out closed doors not just with Fed minutes when they're out at a restaurant

maybe having a couple whiskeys or something what are they really really saying about the

economy well we have a way to kind of open up the kimono,

so to speak, and look behind closed doors

and see, do they think the economy is booming? Do they think the economy is weakening?

And by looking at this specific type of data that the market never talks about,

that no one's really talking about, we can determine the

probabilities of whether or not they'll continue to cut rates going into the next meeting which is slated for November 7th right after the election.

Because right now if you look at the CME, the Fed Watch, we have gone gone from are we going to have a 50 basis point cut or a 25 to now

the only odds that they're making are for a 25 basis point cut or a pause and I think today the

odds of a pause went up to almost 25 percent and if you guys watch the last video on the CPI, you know exactly why.

But is it 25%? Is it 0%? Is it 50%?

As far as them pausing? This is what, this is why it's so important to scratch beneath the surface,

look at the data what they're saying behind closed doors to determine the probabilities,

because this is extremely important, whether I think the Fed matters or not the market does and as you guys know from watching my videos it if we're setting up our portfolio it doesn't matter what we think it only matters what the market thinks. It's all about Keynes's beauty contest. And if you

guys don't know that reference, Keynes was one of the first hedge fund managers.

Most people don't know that. He was kind of the first hedge fund managers, most people don't know that.

He was kind, well, or the guy that kind of was a thought leader prior to the hedge funds and

how to set up portfolios.

...