With the midterm elections now less than a year away, a new PBS News NPR Marist poll has signs of hope for Democrats and a few red flags for Republicans.

So what is resonating with voters?

NPR senior political editor and correspondent, Domenico Montanaro, is here to break down the numbers. Good to see you.

Hey, good to see you. Let's jump in. So Democrats came off some big election wins in New Jersey, in New York City, and Virginia a couple of weeks ago. Seems like they have an advantage. Midterms are still a long way off. But what is the poll show? And in a lot of places across the country, up and down the ballot, really. And I think that what this poll shows is that Democrats have a huge advantage right now. and the real issue is because of affordability.

But what the poll shows is by 55 to 41 margin, Democrats, people say that they would pick a Democrat

in their district if the midterm elections were held today.

Now, why is that important?

It's a plus 14 advantage on what's known as the congressional ballot.

When you have that large of a lead, it is really indicative of a potential wave.

I mean, if you look back to 2022, for example, Democrats had only between an average of zero to four points.

They lost nine seats.

In 2018, Democrats had an advantage between six and 12 points in our poll,

and they obviously won big 40-seat advantage. Now, most people don't expect that we're going

to see a wave of that kind next year, but right now starts out with Democrats with a big advantage.

And a big piece of that is because of independence and how they've slid away. I mean, a 61 to 28%

margin. Independence say that they would pick a Democrat. These are major red flags and warning

signs for the Republican Party right now. And we know a lot can happen in the next year, but that

also includes whatever happens on this redistricting front. We've seen efforts by President Trump

and the Republicans, counter efforts by

the Democrats in California. This is all tied up in the courts right now. But does any of this

make the Democratic polling advantage moot? You know, it depends on how this winds up shaking out.

But frankly, we're seeing some evidence in the past week or so that this could boomerang on

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