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Never Never Landslide

Politix

Politix

Politics, News Commentary, News

4.61.4K Ratings

🗓️ 11 November 2022

⏱️ 71 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Going into Tuesday’s midterm elections, polls forecasted a close race, while Republicans and the media promised a red wave or even a red tsunami. But then the votes came in and it was basically a tie, and the phantom red tsunami was replaced by a storyline that Republicans really blew it—by banning abortion, rejecting democracy, and latching to extreme ideas and candidates. And while Democrats are mostly relieved, they also chose to cautiously hedge their bets instead of maximizing their advantages on those issues. Both parties are making choices, but are they the smartest choices? And what do these choices say about how they plan to govern? New York Times columnist Jamelle Bouie joins to talk about the election results and the choices facing both parties that will affect us all.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi, everyone. Welcome to Positively Dreadful with me, your host, Brian Voiler. People are really

0:26.2

good at constructing arguments or theories about things that they wish were true. And for that reason,

0:31.8

going into Election Day Tuesday night, you could have told yourself anything you wanted about

0:36.8

what was likely to happen. But two versions of events were rooted in more than just raw, motivated

0:43.6

reasoning. One was that the election was shaping up to be very close because that's what the polls kept

0:49.4

saying. Another was that Republicans were poised to win big because that's been the pattern in

0:55.5

recent midterms. And because that's what newsmakers and media figures kept saying publicly,

1:01.7

people's top issue is inflation. Well, that's bad for Dems. Republicans promised a red wave or

1:07.4

red tsunami. Democrats began a round of preemptive recriminations or pre-criminations, whatever you

1:12.7

want to call them. Voters have told us all year what they care about. And I think we have

1:17.6

focused on other things. I was talking to a political strategist this week of Republican who

1:22.9

said to me, you know, the president is out there saying, trust me to get you out of the ditch

1:28.6

that I put you in. And that's a very difficult cell because I know you're you're smirking at me,

1:34.6

but that's what people believe is that it's his fault it may not be, right? And then the votes came

1:39.5

in and it was basically a tie. And as we record this, it seems like Republicans are narrowly favored

1:48.2

to win a very small majority in the House and Democrats are pretty well situated to either keep

1:53.4

their 50 vote Senate majority or at a seat. And the storyline that's taken over the phantom red

2:00.7

tsunami is that Republicans really blew it, which they quite certainly did. They paid dearly for

2:06.4

banning abortion. They paid dearly for rejecting democracy. The tax they paid for lashing themselves

2:12.9

to those extreme ideas and to Donald Trump just canceled out the advantages they entered the

2:18.2

contest with. Obviously, there's no scientific way to measure this, but generally speaking,

2:22.2

there seem to be a correlation in most places between how tightly candidates associated themselves

...

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