All right, Alexander, let's talk about what is happening in Taiwan.

We have the inauguration of Lai, who's the new leader in Taiwan.

And we have these military exercises taking place in and around Taiwan by China, very big, powerful

military exercises, which show that China has the capabilities to surround Taiwan and to blockade

Taiwan. But more than that, it's about sending a message to the new administration to not get any funny ideas about declaring independence or anything like that. What do you think of everything that is going on in Taiwan?

Well, in and around Taiwan, actually.

In and around Taiwan, yeah.

It is a huge show of force from China.

And we're getting all kinds of maps and pictures, which show Chinese warships now in all, you know, basically encircling Taiwan, the Chinese plan, or at least we're signalled that the Chinese plan,

in the event that there is an actual secession move, is an actual straightforward blockade of

Taiwan. Now, it's important to say that this is the Chinese plan with respect to Taiwan.

What we don't know is what plan the Chinese have, and they do undoubtedly have one, if the United States becomes involved

and seeks to break that blockade. So this is in a way a dress rehearsal for a conflict is it's showing as part of what the

Chinese would do if there's a positive secession move in Taiwan but it's a dress rehearsal

of just one part of what must presumably be a larger Chinese plan.

And it's difficult to imagine that in practice, if the Chinese were to blockade Taiwan in this

fashion, given the rhetoric, given the political crisis between China and the

United States, there's been developing continuously, basically since Obama's time, but which has been

given a massive extra impetus during the Biden period, it's difficult to imagine that the United States

would stand by and do nothing if there was such a blockade, a Chinese blockade of Taiwan.

And there's been some very interesting pieces. There's a very interesting piece in the Financial

Times today in which someone who is connected to the Pentagon is telling the Europeans quite straightforwardly, look, our priority now has to be China. China is our main adversary. He touches on Taiwan. The writer this article touches on Taiwan. But he says China is our main adversary. He touches on Taiwan. The writer this article touches on Taiwan,

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