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RiskReversal Pod

Neil Dutta on Housing, The Consumer & AI Fueled Growth

RiskReversal Pod

RiskReversal Media

News, Business, Investing, Business News

4.6757 Ratings

🗓️ 15 August 2025

⏱️ 40 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Guy Adami and Dan Nathan host Neil Dutta, partner and Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, on the RiskReversal Podcast. Neil shares his career journey, his time at NYU, and his experience working with David Rosenberg and Ethan Harris at Merrill Lynch. The conversation covers current economic issues including the US housing market recession, labor market dynamics, and the impact of restrictive monetary policy. Neil also discusses the significant investment in AI and its potential to boost GDP growth. The discussion touches on the Federal Reserve's focus on inflation over employment, the global interest rate environment, and the potential risks concerning AI investment momentum. Neil offers his market outlook, focusing on defensive strategies and the potential future direction of interest rates. Show Notes Neil Dutta's Gut Check: Three Economies (Bloomberg) New York City Companies All but Stopped Hiring in First Half of the Year (NYT) Follow RenMac on X: https://x.com/RenMacLLC —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Transcript

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1:07.7

A very warm welcome to the Risk and Reversal Podcast.

1:10.5

I'm Guy Dami, always joined by Dan Nathan.

1:12.6

Today we're joined by Neil Dutta.

1:19.8

He's a partner and head of economic research at Renaissance macro research. We have found his work to be extraordinarily insightful. We have used his work in the market call and other various

1:26.2

shows that we do. So we said, why don't we reach out to Neil and see if we'll come on the podcast, Dan? Well, he's here. Hey, Neil. How are you? Thanks for joining the podcast. We saw you on CNBC the other day. You did a really nice job on a whole host of different economic stuff. And I read you an opinion piece in Bloomberg last week, too, which was great. So Neil, thanks for being here. Thanks for having me on.

1:27.6

All right.

1:44.5

Before we get into your work, opinion piece in Bloomberg last week too, which was great. So, Neil, thanks for being here.

1:46.4

Thanks for having me on.

1:51.3

All right. Before we get into your work and some views, give us sort of your background because I always find it interesting, and I know the audience does, to learn a little bit about the guests

1:56.3

we have. Sure. So I joined, I went to NYU. I'm born and raised in the New York area, and I went to

2:04.8

NYU, so I never really left. And then my first job out of college, I went to Merrill Lynch.

...

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