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Cato Podcast

Natural Language Processing versus FedSpeak

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Cato, Peace, Policy, Politics, Markets, Defense, Government, News, News Commentary, 424708, Immigration, Libertarian

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 30 November 2019

⏱️ 17 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

How can natural language processing keep the Fed from using obfuscating language? Charles Calomiris comments

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Saturday, November 30th, 2019.

0:08.0

I'm Caleb Brown.

0:09.0

When the Federal Reserve tells us what they're doing, the language they use often obscures exactly what they're

0:14.8

doing.

0:15.8

Charles Calamyrus teaches finance and economics at the Columbia Business School at the Cato

0:19.9

Institute's Monetary Conference held earlier this month. We talked about what natural

0:24.0

language processing could mean or how central banks communicate.

0:28.9

Most people don't really understand what the

0:35.0

incentive to try to dig into what it is they do not lend people

0:38.0

the incentive to try to dig into what it is they do. So tell me what is natural language processing and how

0:48.6

ought it to influence Fed communications.

0:51.6

So all natural language processing means is that we're taking word flow,

0:58.0

whether it's fed speeches or press releases or minutes,

1:02.0

or news articles that appear in newspapers or whatever word

1:06.6

flow and we're analyzing it which means turning that word flow into something quantitative.

1:15.0

So we're looking to see can we learn things from all these different word flows

1:21.0

that can help us understand something in a disciplined way, in a quantitative way.

1:26.6

Can we take the sentences that you just spoke to me and in some sense boil them down to some set of numbers about something.

1:35.8

So that sounds kind of strange to most people, right?

1:39.1

But actually that's been a revolution over the past 10-15 years in social science and it's going to

1:46.4

revolutionize even more.

1:48.8

So all of social science, without any hesitation predict will be completely revolutionized by this new set of

...

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