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Wall Street Breakfast

Nation’s inflation mood shifting?

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 15 September 2023

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Consumer inflation expectations hit 2-1/2-year lows. (0:15) Salesforce (CRM) is hiring again. (2:32) Uranium prices soar. (3:05)

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb

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Show Notes
Three stocks strategies heading into Q4 from Goldman
GE’s stock advances as CFO sees Q3 results at high end of guidance

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Office Wall Street Lunch.

0:04.0

Our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis.

0:08.0

Good afternoon. Today is Friday, September 15th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan.

0:13.8

Our top story so far today.

0:15.7

Are Americans turning the corner on their view of inflation?

0:18.6

The University of Michigan was out with its preliminary report on September consumer

0:22.4

sentiment this morning. the headline measure fell more than expected to 67.7 from 69.5 in August, but the real action was in inflation expectations.

0:32.0

One-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% from 3.5% in August.

0:38.0

Five year inflation expectations, something Fed Chief Jay Powell has said the FOMC is keeping an eye on, dropped to 2.7% from 3%.

0:46.7

Both readings are the lowest since the spring of 2021.

0:50.0

Pantheon macros Ian Shepardson notes that five-year expectations jump from a pre-COVID average of around 2.5 percent to a peak of 3.1 percent in January 2022.

1:00.0

He says a sustained drop in longer-term inflation expectations reflecting the downturn in current inflation would help put FOMC members' minds at ease.

1:08.5

He called the drop to two-year lows a seriously welcome development.

1:12.0

We have argued for some time that a clear

1:14.2

down shift in inflation expectations was overdue and this decline is a big step

1:18.8

towards normalization, he said. This is a preliminary number though and it could be revised up in the final reading as people

1:25.1

respond to higher gas prices but for now it looks good. Moving from the Fed to Congress, Michigan

1:31.1

surveys of consumers director Joanne Sioux, says that so far few consumers

1:36.2

mention the potential federal government shutdown. But if a shutdown comes to bear, consumer

1:41.4

views on the economy will likely slide, just as were the case a few

1:44.8

months ago, when the debt ceiling near to breach.

1:48.5

In today's trading, stocks are selling off with

...

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