Nathan Carson: We’re Looking at the Return of History & the Last Davos Man
Geopolitics & Empire
Geopolitics & Empire
4.2 • 568 Ratings
🗓️ 8 March 2022
⏱️ 53 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Nathan Carson discusses the overturning of the unipolar status quo by way of military strength by revisionist powers (e.g. Russia, China). After the collapse of the Soviet Union the West unsuccessfully attempted to supersize and globalize the neoliberal international order, and instead we’re looking at the return of history and the last Davos man. The world as we knew the past 30 years is over. Nations are now trying to carve out their own spheres of interest, to find the new equilibrium in the international system. People are trying to find out what this brave new world looks like. The world is moving toward a more regionalized bloc system. China is having numerous problems and is attempting to solve them via automation, which is expensive. We’re seeing rising food price inflation, food insecurity, and input prices. The U.S. is very food self-sufficient, there you might see localized shortages. The developing world could be on the brink of famine. Globalization is dead, we can’t save the system. Localized resilient systems need to be built.
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Websites
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About Nathan Carson
Nathan Carson is the head of supply chain/ops for a fertilizer blender. Food security is national security. He write about geopolitics and makes populist hot takes in his free time. His Shatterpoints Substack is about examining historical mega-trends, the challenges we face, and the forces constraining future actions. Utilizing systems thinking, Shatterpoints outlines how economics, politics, demographics, security, environment, geography, and culture are interacting to drive events over the next decade.
*Podcast intro music is from the song “The Queens Jig” by “Musicke & Mirth” from their album “Music for Two Lyra Viols”: http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The Geopolitics and Empire podcast is joined by Nathan Carson of the Shatterpoint Substack. |
| 0:05.2 | He has a background in food, resource, and agricultural economics and the masters in international relations just like myself. |
| 0:12.9 | He is VP of operations and supply chains at a local fertilizer blender. |
| 0:17.6 | He's been working in the space of geopolitics, agriculture, sustainability, and food |
| 0:21.8 | insecurity for the better part of a decade. How is sunny Florida, Nathan? I'm loving it. The free |
| 0:27.5 | state of Florida is wide open and man, it's good being a Floridian, that's for sure. Yeah, if I was |
| 0:32.1 | living in the States, I'd be looking to go to Florida. So we found each other on Twitter, and I greatly enjoy your commentary and views. |
| 0:41.1 | And when it comes to your feel of expertise, I'm quite the novice, which is why I wanted |
| 0:45.0 | to get you on. |
| 0:45.7 | So you could give us a crash course on some of the topics that you touch on, such as food |
| 0:49.6 | security, supply chains, globalization. |
| 0:52.0 | And perhaps we'll start with what's going on in Ukraine because |
| 0:54.9 | it seems this is what's going to shake the entire world. But before embarking on our journey, |
| 1:00.4 | I wanted to read something Ray Dalio posted yesterday, quote, he said, you're expected to go to the |
| 1:06.7 | higher level and look down on yourself and others as part of a system. In other words, you must |
| 1:11.8 | get out of your own head, consider your views as just some among many, and look down on the |
| 1:16.8 | full array of points of view to assess them in an idea meritocratic way rather than just in |
| 1:21.9 | your own possessive way. Seeing things from the higher level isn't just seeing other people's |
| 1:26.5 | point of view. |
| 1:32.5 | It's also being able to see every situation yourself and others in the situation as though you were looking down on them as an objective observer, end quote. |
| 1:35.3 | So when I look at the US, EU, Russia, Ukraine situation, I look at it as someone who has sort of |
| 1:41.5 | one foot in both orbits. |
... |
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