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The Bulwark Podcast

Nate Silver: Underdog Story

The Bulwark Podcast

The Bulwark

News, News Commentary, Politics

4.68.9K Ratings

🗓️ 9 August 2024

⏱️ 51 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Kamala is now the star of a story involving a woman called into duty at a moment of crisis with a sitcom dad as a running mate—and Trump can see the danger. Nate Silver joins Tim Miller to explain what his polling model is showing. Plus, the survivorship bias of Elon-world risk takers, and good, old gambling tips. Your weekend pod.
show notes:

Nate's new book, "On the Edge The Art of Risking Everything," out Tuesday
Tim making the "conservative case" for Kamala
Tim's playlist

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hey all, quick correction and some updates before we get to our guests on yesterday's pod,

0:04.0

Adam delivered just this epic widely shared rant about JD Vance's disgusting attacks on Tim

0:10.8

Walls. If you haven't seen it, you should definitely go check it out.

0:14.0

One note on that rant though. He was using the Air National Guard ranks.

0:19.0

He's from the Air National Guard, not the Army National Guard ranks, the equivalent rank, but different titles, if you will.

0:27.0

Walls reach the rank of Command Sergeant Major and then retired as master sergeant.

0:33.4

That distinction had some of the army brats in the comments in a tizzy.

0:36.4

So I just wanted to be clear on that in case you were sending that around to

0:40.0

any MAGA friends who are, you know, whatever,

0:43.4

trying to make this BS stolen valor charge

0:46.4

on Tim Wall's stick.

0:48.1

One other thing, I did an interview

0:50.1

with the contrarian conservative outlet

0:52.0

called Unheard,

0:53.2

where I made a pretty succinct case for why I think a conservative

0:56.1

should vote for Kamala this year.

0:58.2

I get asked from time to time by listeners what to send their on the fence friends.

1:03.0

This might be a good one, especially if your friend is like one of those college educated

1:06.6

Romney voting types.

1:08.6

So we'll put a link in the show notes and you can have that if you want one more thing I get those emails and I haven't

1:15.4

done a mail bag in a while because there's been so much news but you can email us at

1:18.6

bulwark podcast at the bulwark.com I will do some mailbag next week sometime. Remember questions are short and end with a

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