In the military, standing still in the middle of battle is like a really, really bad plan, right?

You either want to attack or retreat.

Those are both better moves than just calling and standing still.

And so being willing to like get out of a bad situation

and then raise the stakes when you have the advantage.

And press that advantage is, I think, good advice

across a lot of walks of life. I'm Mary Long and that's Nate Silver.

I'm Mary Long and that's Nate Silver.

He's the founder of the political polling site 538,

writer of the Silver Bulletin Substack, a professional poker player,

and author of the new book On The Edge, the art of risking everything.

My colleague Ricky Mulvey caught up with silver for a conversation about risk.

They discuss the challenges of predicting a presidential race,

the moneyballization of casinos, and AI's base case.

This conversation runs a bit longer than our typical weekend show, so we're giving you some

extra time to enjoy it.

No show tomorrow, fools. Enjoy today's episode and we'll see you. giving you

on show tomorrow fools.

Enjoy today's episode and we'll see you on Monday. I want to do the election stuff up front and then I want to dive into the book I think I think that might be sort of the standard interview procedure for most of yeah

this stuff throughout the book tour um You've said that this is a quote, somewhat challenging time

from a forecasting standpoint and in this time we've delayed our interview by a

couple of weeks and in this time we've had the Democratic nominee swapped out

...