Narrative Watch: Time Preference Transformation - How CT Reacted (Or Didn't) To Last Week's Price Crash
The Breakdown
Blockworks
4.8 • 806 Ratings
🗓️ 30 September 2019
⏱️ 16 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome back to another narrative watch video from Masari. All right, guys, it is Monday, |
| 0:06.9 | September 30th, back as always, as every Monday with a narrative watch. So narrative watch is |
| 0:12.3 | basically a series where I look at some emerging sentiment shift, right? Some kind of shared |
| 0:18.5 | sensibility that's on the rise. |
| 0:21.6 | And this week we're looking at something which I think is more an observation about the, you know, |
| 0:29.6 | a change in disposition or refining in disposition of the Bitcoin community and the larger |
| 0:35.6 | crypto community that I think was shown off last week. |
| 0:38.3 | And so we're going to talk about time preference a little bit. |
| 0:41.3 | So just by way of introducing this concept of time preference, it's a tweet from just yesterday. |
| 0:46.3 | So American Hodel says, this is what low time preference looks like. |
| 0:50.3 | Trace, he's referring to Trace Mayor, is a billionaire and he buys his shoes in the clearance bin at Payless. He's actually kind of making a joke about a photo that went up from Trace |
| 1:00.9 | where he's in a photo with Pomp and Caitlin Long in Wyoming, and he has kind of just very basic |
| 1:07.3 | black, like trainer, sneaker style shoes, right? And so, so Trace says, |
| 1:13.8 | Bitcoin brutally teaches lessons on time preference and opportunity cost. My beautiful shoes cost |
| 1:18.6 | 100 plus. Remember the poem during the Great Depression. Use it up, wear it out, make it do or |
| 1:22.8 | do without. And he has a whole graphic. So the idea of time preference is it has to do with the current or future value of goods, right? |
| 1:34.0 | Like what value you place on receiving a good now versus receiving it later? And so the idea of high time preference, it's just from the Wikipedia because it's a useful heuristic, someone with high time preference is focused substantially on their well-being in the present and the immediate future relative to the average person, while someone with low time preference places more emphasis than average on their well-being in the further future. |
| 1:58.7 | So this concept of time preference is not unique to |
| 2:02.2 | crypto, right? It's a part of economics. It's particularly a part of like Austrian school |
| 2:07.7 | economics where there's a real emphasis on low time preference, not just kind of from an individual |
| 2:13.6 | consumption standpoint, but from a long term where where the value to society standpoint is, right? |
| 2:18.7 | Like in a lot of ways, the central nub of what the Austrian economic school kind of |
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