Motley Fool Money: 10.02.2009
Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Motley Fool
4.3 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 2 October 2009
⏱️ 16 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hillier, host. I'm joined in studio by Motley Fool |
| 0:09.5 | Senior Analyst Seth Jason, James Early, and Shannon, and some great guys. Happy Friday. |
| 0:14.5 | Happy Friday to you Chris. |
| 0:15.8 | On today's show, we'll talk about Ken Lewis' Goodbye, Starbucks Instant Coffee, and as |
| 0:21.3 | always we'll share three stock ideas. But let's begin with the big macro. Job numbers |
| 0:25.4 | out today, not good. 263,000 added to the unemployment roles. The unemployment rate now at 9.8% |
| 0:34.6 | is the highest since June of 1983. Shannon? |
| 0:39.4 | Yeah, not a surprise for folks who've been paying attention to our podcast or our economists, |
| 0:44.4 | actually. So everybody's stuck with a consensus estimate of 10% unemployment before the recession |
| 0:49.9 | is really over. And last month's downtake was a bit of a statistical fluke. So I don't |
| 0:54.7 | think it was much of a shocker. |
| 0:56.2 | Yeah, this is, first of all, after the recession is over GDP-wise, we expect because it's |
| 1:01.4 | the way it always seems to work and more likely work that unemployment won't continue to |
| 1:05.5 | get worse because businesses will, once they turn up, then they start hiring. There's |
| 1:09.7 | a lag. That's just the way it's going to be. But this entire thing says a lot about |
| 1:14.9 | what we can expect from consumer spending, which was void by this cash for clunkers thing. |
| 1:20.1 | We've been saying for a while, don't believe everything you see on every single stock in |
| 1:23.4 | this rally. We're not back to normal yet. And this is just another indication that I |
| 1:27.8 | think we were right about that. James, can I just point out that according to my sources, |
| 1:31.9 | out of those 263,000 jobs lost 53,000, we're actually government jobs. So obviously, probably |
| 1:38.5 | no loss of productivity there. And it also makes the private sector. |
| 1:42.9 | James job loss, not too bad. Not too bad, actually. |
... |
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