Motley Fool Money: 09.03.2009
Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Motley Fool
4.3 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 3 September 2009
⏱️ 18 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Eln. I'm joined by Motley Fool Senior Analyst, Seth |
| 0:08.7 | Jason, James Early, and Shannon Zimmer and guys. Welcome. Good to be with you Chris. Happy |
| 0:13.5 | what day is it? Well, you know, we're keeping this on Thursday because we got the holiday |
| 0:17.5 | weekend and our producer, Matt Greer, wants to get out of town. Actually, we decided that |
| 0:21.5 | nothing useful will happen tomorrow. You can all quit work and go home. And the fact |
| 0:26.8 | that Matt wants to get out of town has nothing to do with the holiday, by the way. |
| 0:29.5 | Exactly. Fingers crossed. All right. On today's show, Disney loads up on superheroes, eBay |
| 0:35.0 | unloads Skype. And as always, we'll share three stock ideas. But we begin with this big macro |
| 0:40.6 | question. Is commercial real estate the next big shoot a drop earlier this week? The Wall |
| 0:45.4 | Street Journal reported that the commercial mortgage back security sector had a delinquency |
| 0:50.7 | rate in July of 3.14%, which doesn't sound all that high until you consider it is more |
| 0:56.0 | than six times higher than it was a year ago. James, how bad is this in general and how |
| 1:02.2 | bad is this for investors? Well, first of all, let me say this. If you are a regular |
| 1:05.6 | listener to Motley Fool Money, you would have been warned about this as early as last week. |
| 1:10.3 | We have been talking about that for many months. For many months, we've been talking about |
| 1:13.9 | this. This is like our 27th warning on this. It is big. But let me give you a little bit |
| 1:17.7 | more perspective. So, so we predicted it often enough. It finally happened. It's finally, |
| 1:22.9 | yeah, we got to be careful of what we say here. Wall Street Journal says there's 6.7 trillion |
| 1:29.2 | total commercial real estate. 1.7 trillion of that is in bank loans, which most of which |
| 1:33.7 | are not marked to market in about 700 billion in the commercial mortgage back security. So, |
| 1:38.5 | you know, in terms of the securities itself, it is smaller than subprime, you know, but |
| 1:43.2 | it's still certainly big enough to be a concern. And I think it's just getting started. |
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