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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

Morgan Housel on Economic Forecasts, Resolutions, and Writing

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Motley Fool

Business, Investing

4.33.1K Ratings

🗓️ 7 January 2024

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let’s say you have a big goal for 2024, financially or personally. What happens after you reach it? Morgan Housel is the best-selling author of “Same As Ever” and “The Psychology of Money”. Dylan Lewis caught up with Housel for a discussion about:  - Setting up processes, not resolutions for the new year. - The biggest significant economic story (that’s already known). - What early criticisms of cars, airplanes, and AI have in common.  Host: Dylan Lewis Guest: Morgan Housel Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineer: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The other thing that was just astounding in 2023, one of the biggest economic stories

0:05.3

was of course interest rates go up and up and up, the Fed is cranking, crank and cranking.

0:10.1

And what did housing prices do? They went up.

0:12.9

What did the stock market do?

0:14.4

The S&P 500 was up 27%.

0:17.0

All of these things that should not have happened

0:19.2

if you're using logic to think about how the economy works. You know, it went the other way.

0:27.8

I'm Mary Long and that's best-selling author, Morgan Housall.

0:30.8

Host Dylan Lewis caught up with Housall for a chat about what parts of the economy we can and really can't predict,

0:38.0

where a lot of fear about artificial intelligence comes from,

0:41.0

and how to set up systems rather than resolutions for a better 2024.

0:50.0

We're here talking in early January and this is I think resolution time for a lot of people.

0:56.0

I'm curious, do you have any resolutions for the year?

0:59.2

I don't, I really don't think I do and I didn't come up with this philosophy but I forget who did but I read this a couple years ago where it was like you don't want goals in life I know it sounds counterintuitive but generally you want systems and the difference is a goal tends to have like a finish line.

1:15.8

So the example that I think was given was if you say I want to lose 10 pounds,

1:20.2

that's a goal.

1:21.1

And then once you lose 10 pounds, you're like, what what do I do now but if you have a system where you say I'm going to eat better that's a that's a system and there's no fine there's no you know finish line to kind of trip you up so I think for a lot of things in life, including maybe especially for me financial stuff.

1:35.1

I really don't have any active goals of saying I want my net worth to be this, I want to save this amount,

1:40.8

there's really nothing like that. It's a system of doing the best that I can all the time.

1:44.9

And whether it's January 1st or December 7th or July 8th, whatever it is, I'm going to do that system all the time.

1:50.4

So that's my way of backing out of your question and saying no I really don't have many

1:54.0

resolutions but I think it's for it's it's well meaning and well intentioned. It's not Bah Humbug.

...

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