Morgan Housel on Economic Forecasts, Resolutions, and Writing
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The Motley Fool
4.3 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 7 January 2024
⏱️ 26 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | The other thing that was just astounding in 2023, one of the biggest economic stories |
| 0:05.3 | was of course interest rates go up and up and up, the Fed is cranking, crank and cranking. |
| 0:10.1 | And what did housing prices do? They went up. |
| 0:12.9 | What did the stock market do? |
| 0:14.4 | The S&P 500 was up 27%. |
| 0:17.0 | All of these things that should not have happened |
| 0:19.2 | if you're using logic to think about how the economy works. You know, it went the other way. |
| 0:27.8 | I'm Mary Long and that's best-selling author, Morgan Housall. |
| 0:30.8 | Host Dylan Lewis caught up with Housall for a chat about what parts of the economy we can and really can't predict, |
| 0:38.0 | where a lot of fear about artificial intelligence comes from, |
| 0:41.0 | and how to set up systems rather than resolutions for a better 2024. |
| 0:50.0 | We're here talking in early January and this is I think resolution time for a lot of people. |
| 0:56.0 | I'm curious, do you have any resolutions for the year? |
| 0:59.2 | I don't, I really don't think I do and I didn't come up with this philosophy but I forget who did but I read this a couple years ago where it was like you don't want goals in life I know it sounds counterintuitive but generally you want systems and the difference is a goal tends to have like a finish line. |
| 1:15.8 | So the example that I think was given was if you say I want to lose 10 pounds, |
| 1:20.2 | that's a goal. |
| 1:21.1 | And then once you lose 10 pounds, you're like, what what do I do now but if you have a system where you say I'm going to eat better that's a that's a system and there's no fine there's no you know finish line to kind of trip you up so I think for a lot of things in life, including maybe especially for me financial stuff. |
| 1:35.1 | I really don't have any active goals of saying I want my net worth to be this, I want to save this amount, |
| 1:40.8 | there's really nothing like that. It's a system of doing the best that I can all the time. |
| 1:44.9 | And whether it's January 1st or December 7th or July 8th, whatever it is, I'm going to do that system all the time. |
| 1:50.4 | So that's my way of backing out of your question and saying no I really don't have many |
| 1:54.0 | resolutions but I think it's for it's it's well meaning and well intentioned. It's not Bah Humbug. |
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