More or Less: Superforecasting, wood burning stoves and the real story of Hidden Figures
More or Less
BBC
4.6 • 3.7K Ratings
🗓️ 28 February 2020
⏱️ 26 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Dipping into the archive for stories on the art of prediction and wood burner pollution
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hello and welcome to the Morales podcast, I'm Kate Lamble. |
| 0:04.2 | This week in the spirit of the age we're recycling. |
| 0:07.3 | Dipping into the archive for stories about super forecasting, wood burning stoves and |
| 0:11.8 | the real story behind the Hollywood film Hidden Figures. |
| 0:14.8 | We'll start with a rather strange political story, which has been running in the UK over |
| 0:20.1 | the last few weeks. |
| 0:21.8 | Boris Johnson's new British government employed a man called Andrew Sabisky as a forecaster, |
| 0:27.3 | as part of their advertised attempt to hire talented, misfit some weirdos to help improve |
| 0:33.1 | the way government works. |
| 0:35.2 | But it was revealed Mr. Sabisky had made lots of comments in the past on topics such as |
| 0:39.6 | eugenics and race. |
| 0:41.8 | After a few days of press attention he resigned. |
| 0:44.7 | His boss Dominic Cummings, the Prime Minister's chief advisor, was asked to comment. |
| 0:49.2 | His reply? |
| 0:50.2 | A book recommendation. |
| 0:51.2 | We've sort of cataloged super forecasters. |
| 0:54.2 | You regretted the point? |
| 0:56.2 | Instead of political pundits, you don't know what to talk about. |
| 0:59.6 | Dominic Cummings there telling people to read the book Super Forecasting by Philip Tetlock |
| 1:03.8 | and on this we're firmly in agreement. |
| 1:06.6 | But if you haven't got time, here's Tim Halford interviewing Professor Tetlock in 2018. |
| 1:12.2 | Seeing into the future isn't an easy business. |
... |
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