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Better Offline

Monologue: How OpenAI Kills Oracle

Better Offline

Cool Zone Media and iHeartPodcasts

Technology

4.6687 Ratings

🗓️ 24 April 2026

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this week's Better Offline monologue, Ed Zitron runs through how OpenAI must grow its revenue by 1000% in the next three years and raise at least another $200 billion for it to be able to pay its compute deals with Oracle and other providers, and how Oracle dies if OpenAI fails to pay its bills.

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is an I-Heart podcast.

0:02.5

Guaranteed human.

0:06.7

CallZone Media.

0:09.8

Hello and welcome to this week's Better Offline monologue.

0:12.7

I'm your host, Ed Zittron.

0:18.8

Better offline.

0:27.6

Forgive me if I sound a little congested. I'm sick. I promise I'm resting up, but this is an important one. Today I'm going to talk to you about something I'm brewing over in my premium newsletter.

0:30.6

It will be out later today, but this is information you need to know and don't need to cough up money to find out.

0:36.6

There'll be more details, but you're going to get a lot today.

0:40.5

So I want to be very clear about something.

0:43.4

For Open AI to be able to pay the deals it is signed with all of these different companies,

0:48.8

Amazon, Microsoft, Corweave, Cerebrus and Oracle,

0:52.7

it will have to be 10 to 15 times its current revenue and have

0:55.9

raised at least another $150 billion. If it fails, Oracle will run out of money and not be able to pay

1:02.8

its debts and probably shut down. And I know that sounds insane because Oracle is so large

1:08.3

and has been around for so long. But let me explain.

1:11.6

Oracle is building around 7.1 gigawatts of data center capacity for open AI, with the majority

1:16.2

of it looking like it will be finished somewhere towards the end of 2028, an absolute best,

1:21.3

if not the end of 2029 or 2030, if it ever gets built. Stargate Abilene, the only one of

1:27.2

them anywhere near completion,

1:28.7

starred in the middle of 2024, sits two years into construction at two buildings and around

1:33.8

200 megawatts of capacity out of the eight that are being built. Eight buildings, I mean.

...

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