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Fantasy Football with Josh & Hayden

Moneyballing the NFL Combine (Micropod!)

Fantasy Football with Josh & Hayden

Underdog Fantasy

Sports, Football, Fantasy Sports

4.8643 Ratings

🗓️ 28 February 2023

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Moneyball is a catch-all term for using analytics to build a professional sports roster. Josh Norris is no Brad Pitt, but he did identify one simple trick to evaluate offensive linemen for the NFL Draft with nearly 15 years of data to back it up. NFL Combine OL that have recorded a 4.47 20-yard shuttle or better have gone on to start 84% of their career NFL games. Incredible, and super valuable for the 2023 NFL Draft   Follow Josh on Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoshNorris   Full OL Short Shuttle Table, and other important Combine nuggets: https://underdognetwork.com/football/2022-nfl-combine-why-it-matters   💸 Promo to DRAFT WITH US: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-underedog-football-show   📈 2023 Fantasy Football Rankings: https://underdognetwork.com/football/2023-fantasy-football-rankings-with-offseason-predictions   @FantasyPros @BettingPros @NFL @NFL Network @CBS Sports HQ @CBS Sports @The Fantasy Footballers @The Fantasy Headliners @Fantasy Flock Network @BDGE Media @Pro Football Focus @Fantasy Football @Fantasy Football Advice @Barstool Sports @Underdog Fantasy @Sal Vetri   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

In 2019, I challenged myself to identify the one athletic test, the one combine measurement,

0:18.0

that best projected success at the NFL level.

0:21.6

The simple concept, but nearly an impossible mission when you consider just how

0:26.5

in exact the draft process is every single year.

0:29.9

But I'm here to tell you, we did it.

0:32.3

And the results, they're shocking.

0:34.5

Since 2010, there have been 28 offensive linemen that have recorded a 4.4 second 20-yard

0:40.8

shuttle time or better at the NFL combine. 24 have been drafted. And those 24 offensive linemen

0:46.7

have gone on to start 84% of their NFL games. I'm going to repeat that because that is a staggering

0:53.6

number. Since 2010, 24

0:56.1

offensive linemen that have been drafted recorded a 4.47 short shuttle time at the NFL

1:01.7

Combine and those players have gone on to start 84% of their NFL games. Doesn't matter if they're

1:07.7

a first rounder, second rounder, sixth or seventh, it totally applies.

1:12.3

So let's pop the hood, peel back the curtain, and try to figure out why, why this is happening.

1:17.6

Let's just start with the names.

1:18.9

Numerous first and second round picks have qualified over the last 13 years.

1:23.0

Nate Solder, Anthony Costanzo, Eric Fisher, Jake Matthews, Joel Petonio, each started nearly every

1:30.3

single one of their healthy games during their NFL career. But then someone like Ali Marpet

1:35.3

sticks out to me in round two, a player who had an awesome senior bowl week, but came from a very

1:41.7

small school in Hobart. Dominated his competition.

1:45.1

Again, had a great week of practice, but that has to give NFL decision makers, general

1:49.8

managers, pause, doesn't it?

...

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