Monday Night Football EXTRA Props and Picks—Dolphins vs Steelers
The Early Edge: A Daily Sports Betting Podcast
CBS Sports, Sports Betting, Sports Gambling, Picks
4.5 • 778 Ratings
🗓️ 15 December 2025
⏱️ 23 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Our NFL Experts of Sia Nejad, Larry Hartstein, Mike McClure, and Danny Brasco break down all their favorite Props and Bets for Monday Night Football's Dolphins vs. Steelers game!
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | We're back on the early edge on CBS Sports Network, and Mike McClure joins the fray. |
| 0:09.7 | We've got Mike, we got Danny, we've got Larry Hartstein, we've got some passing props to start off this segment with. |
| 0:15.2 | Mike, I'm going to start with you. |
| 0:16.7 | How about your favorite passing prop for Monday night football? |
| 0:19.9 | A very rare interception prop, actually. |
| 0:23.2 | See, I'm going to go Tua interception minus 112. |
| 0:26.3 | Look, I think that this is a tough spot to walk into. |
| 0:29.5 | I know that they've played well recently. |
| 0:31.8 | It's still a hostile environment when you talk about a Steelers team, |
| 0:34.8 | still on the verge of making the playoffs. |
| 0:37.1 | When I look at Tua in this spot, though, I have to acknowledge the fact that Devon A-chan is extremely beat up, in my opinion. There's the scenario where he's out at some point in this game and they're forced to throw the football or if they fall behind. That, I think, is the recipe for disaster in these conditions here. So I'm going to be on T-I-N-T here, minus 112. Larry, you're looking at Tua as well, but you're not looking. I mean, listen, he can throw an interception on 28 pass attempts, but you're actually looking at the under 28-and-half pass attempts here. Yeah, and it's gone down to 27 and a half at some books. |
| 1:11.1 | I'm still okay playing it there. |
| 1:12.7 | Even without T.J. Watt on the field, they do not want to have Tua dropping back 35 times in cold weather. It's not going to be windy, which is a good, you know, which is a plus for Tua who doesn't have the strongest arm. But the Dolphin's success, this recent run of success is all about the ground game. |
| 1:29.8 | Devon A. Chan, J. Lim Wright, E.Rite. Tua, who doesn't have the strongest arm. But the dolphin's success, this recent run of success is all |
| 1:28.1 | about the ground game, Devon A. Chan, Jalim Wright, even Ali Gordon, that's their identity now. |
| 1:34.6 | And he's thrown 23 or fewer passes in four straight. He's gone under this number in six out of seven. |
| 1:40.2 | So unless they get down like 17 to 3, 20 to 3, I don't think they're going to abandon the run. And the biggest thing I like about this prop is both teams play slow, bottom 10 in pace. Yeah, they both certainly do play slow. Danny, I'm going to go to Aaron Rogers and I'm going to get your Aaron Rogers play as well. I'm going to take his over 20 and a half completions. Now, at first blush, this doesn't look like a good play. I mean, he hasn't hit this in three of the last four. But I do think the short area of passing game is really going to shine here for Aaron Rogers. And it's partly because this Miami rush defense has been very good as of late. Jalen Warren has been downgraded to questionable. We'll see what happens with him. But either way, I don't think Gainwell and Jalen Warren are going to be able to rush the ball super effectively. I see a lot of short area passing to the running backs, to the tight ends, and of course, to the receivers as well. Give me at least 21 completions for Aaron Rogers. Kenny Brascoe, you like Rogers as well, but in a different market. Yeah, I'm going to take him not to throw an interception tonight. And this is really just a play on the number. |
| 2:37.3 | We're getting minus 125, which is about 55% implied odds. But Rogers has only thrown an interception in four out of 12 games he started in this season. He has seven picks on the year, but he threw multiple in a game. That doesn't matter for this prop. We just need him not to throw one here. |
| 2:51.3 | I mean, it's only happened a third of the time. |
| 2:52.9 | He's been a fairly responsible game manager, and the dolphins, as improving as their defense is, they still rank very towards the bottom of the league in terms of takeaways. I think they only have seven interceptions on the year, which is quite low. So I think Rogers, like Sia mentioned, can, you know, stick to that short |
| 3:07.5 | air passing game, lean on the run when they need to, and probably just look to kind of get into a rock fight with the dolphins in a cold weather game. You know, you're facing an outdoor opponent, or excuse me, an indoor opponent going to the cold outdoors. Put the game on your terms. You know, don't turn the ball over. Steelers have a shot to win this game. I don't think Aaron Rogers throws a pick tonight. |
| 3:24.9 | Yeah, that's totally fair. |
... |
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