Monday - February 2, 2026
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 569 Ratings
🗓️ 2 February 2026
⏱️ 10 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4qULYQz
In this edition of Dividend Cafe, David provides a market update from an unconventional setting at JFK airport. He discusses January's market rotation, with a spotlight on small cap and value stocks outperforming large cap and growth stocks. Key sectors such as energy, materials, and consumer staples are highlighted, alongside underperformers like technology and communication services. Bahnsen reviews Bitcoin's decline, diverging trends in gold and silver, and significant movements in major indices and the bond market. Additionally, it covers notable corporate news related to AI funding, Oracle's significant capital raise, potential shifts in Nvidia's investment in OpenAI, and positive developments in the ISM manufacturing index. David also touches on declining rent prices and previews an upcoming detailed analysis on Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve Chair nomination in the next Dividend Cafe episode.
00:00 Introduction and Travel Update
00:46 January Market Highlights
01:29 Sector Performance and Market Rotation
02:47 Bitcoin and Gold Analysis
04:14 AI and Tech Industry News
05:49 Economic Indicators and Housing Market
06:52 Upcoming Federal Reserve Analysis
07:33 Oil Market and Closing Remarks
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividing Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio |
| 0:06.5 | and dividends in your understanding of economic life. Well, hello and welcome to the Monday |
| 0:13.9 | edition of Dividend Cafe. You may notice I'm not in my normal setting here. I'm sitting in the |
| 0:19.5 | Admiral's Club at JFK where I had to run to the airport from the office, |
| 0:24.3 | hence the change in outfit and the expedient nature of today's div cafe because my flight tonight got canceled. |
| 0:32.4 | I was able to get our earlier one, and I'm headed back from the three-degree tundra of Manhattan to the 75-degree |
| 0:39.3 | tundra of California, then off to Arizona for a big client event, Tuesday night, be in our |
| 0:44.9 | Phoenix office Wednesday, back in California, Thursday, Friday. So the moving around is what it is, |
| 0:50.6 | but I did not want to leave you without the Monday Dividing Cafe. It was an adventurous |
| 0:56.5 | day and even weekend. We're now, of course, done through the month of January. Some quick highlights |
| 1:03.0 | around all that. It was very much a month of rotation. And one month does not represent the entirety of 2026, but this was, of course, |
| 1:13.1 | a big theme of ours for the year. What it does in January has nothing to do with what |
| 1:18.7 | we'll end up doing for the whole year. But you just saw a significant rotation and really across |
| 1:23.0 | the board, equal weight S&P up 3.3% where the cap weighted S&P only up 1.4. |
| 1:30.2 | The small cap index, Russell 2000, up 5.3 with the S&P only up 1.4, |
| 1:35.6 | value up 4.4, large cap value, with large cap growth, down 1.5. |
| 1:42.0 | So in all of those major metrics that kind of size up this rotation theme, |
| 1:47.7 | from small to large, from value to growth, from even weight to cap weight, the rotation was really profound. |
| 1:54.0 | And across the sectors of it all as well, energy, materials, consumer staples, top performing sectors, |
| 2:00.0 | the bottom of the barrel was technology |
| 2:02.9 | and communication services. The NASDAQ, speaking of which, by the way, has not made a new high |
| 2:07.9 | since October and 40% of its constituents are treating below their 200-day moving average. |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.

