Monday - December 15, 2025
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 570 Ratings
🗓️ 15 December 2025
⏱️ 23 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3MvD1Ot
Monday Market Recap and Reflections on Recent Events
In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen discusses various market trends and policy issues from the New York City office. He reflects on the significant news events over the weekend, including the Brown University shooting, attacks in Australia and Syria, and the murder of filmmaker Rob Reiner and his wife. David analyzes stock market behaviors, including sector performances and reactions to AI infrastructure stocks, and provides insights into bond yields and the housing market. He also touches on Supreme Court cases affecting tariffs and forecasts potential policy moves regarding the Affordable Care Act subsidies. Lastly, he speaks about the tragic death of Rob Reiner, highlighting the impact of his films.
00:00 Introduction and Upcoming Schedule
02:13 Reflecting on a Tragic News Weekend
03:41 Market Overview and Key Observations
04:50 AI Sector Performance and Market Rotation
06:47 Bond Yields and Financial Sector Insights
09:31 Policy Updates and Supreme Court Predictions
12:08 Economic Data and Trade Deficit Analysis
13:14 Housing Market Trends and Builder Sentiment
16:17 Federal Reserve Actions and Interest Rates
19:28 Tribute to Rob Reiner and Conclusion
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividing Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio |
| 0:06.5 | and dividends in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:11.8 | Well, hello and welcome to the Monday edition, a Dividend Cafe. |
| 0:15.7 | We are going to spend a few minutes going around the horn as we normally do to all of our normal subjects. |
| 0:22.7 | I am doing this from the New York City office where I arrived very late on Sunday night. |
| 0:28.7 | We'll be here all week. |
| 0:30.7 | And then on Friday, I will be recording the last Friday Dividendon Cafe the year doing a special Dividend Cafe Friday |
| 0:41.0 | about the first 25 years of this new century and new millennium. |
| 0:48.8 | And what the single obvious takeaway of the single obvious investor lesson has been for the last 25 years, |
| 0:58.5 | and that will be the subject to the Dividing Cafe this Friday. I will, though, do one final |
| 1:04.6 | Monday Dividendin Cafe from Newport Beach next Monday, and that will really be the last of the year. We won't do the |
| 1:14.6 | final two weeks of the Friday, which is the day after Christmas, day after New Year's, with the |
| 1:20.2 | holidays. Let's say the squeeze is not worth the juice or the juice is not worth the squeeze, |
| 1:25.6 | whatever the expression is. But we have learned |
| 1:28.2 | that during the holidays, it is best to let that period go. And actually, the week between Christmas |
| 1:34.9 | and New Year's, I'll be very focused on the annual, what we call white paper, but basically the |
| 1:41.1 | year behind reflections, you're in review and year ahead commentary. |
| 1:46.4 | We want to be focused on going into 2026. So once I start talking about what we're doing |
| 1:52.9 | and not doing, Dividend Cafe around the end of the year, you know that we are really |
| 1:57.2 | wrapping up a calendar year. And indeed, next week, being the Christmas holiday, |
| 2:02.6 | tis the season indeed. Although I knew it was the season when I walked from my apartment |
| 2:07.6 | to the office this morning and it was 12 degrees. And I had to walk very slowly to make sure I did |
... |
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