Hey there listeners, Galen here.

Just wanted to give you a heads up that we're going to be off next week on both Monday and Thursday.

So in the meantime, feel free to take a look back through our archives or check out the Jerry Mandering Project.

If you want to get some background for the redistricting fights that are coming down the pike,

you can search the Jerry Mandering Project wherever you get your podcasts.

We will be back on August 30th, but until then, here's a special edition of Model Talk.

Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast. I'm Galen Druke.

I'm Nate Silver. And this is Model Talk.

But a different kind of Model Talk, Galen.

It's climate edition. A different kind of Model Talk.

And it's not my model. I'm an idiot about these models, but we'll ask smart and dumb questions

of people who actually are experts in this area.

Yes. So a little background here. Earlier this month, a group of climate scientists from around the

world published the first part of what is considered to be one of the most comprehensive reports

on the state of climate change. It's called the IPCC or Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Assessment Report. And its findings were pretty grim. And so we wanted to talk about them.

Total global warming is at this point at 1.1 degrees Celsius or about two degrees Fahrenheit

above pre-industrial levels, all of which is attributed to human activity.

At that level of warming, essentially extreme weather patterns will increase in intensity

and frequency over the next 20 to 30 years, basically regardless of emissions cuts made today.

What happens beyond that largely depends on levels of carbon emissions going forward.

And according to this report, in a best case scenario in which the world cuts carbon emissions

...