I'm going to There are exceptions to every rule, but we need rules of thumb to navigate our

fantasy drafts. You have to cross off players that you won't be drafting until they fall well past their ADP and that rarely happens because most fantasy gamers select players based on the average draft position big board in the draft room.

So a player has to fall way out of favor.

A damaged brand to become available rounds past where they typically go in drafts.

Mix Crossing players that don't fit the typically productive profile off your list

a sound strategy, it's the rational move.

Take for example, avoiding rookie tight ends in seasonal leagues.

Time and time again, even the best! Travis Kelsey, George Kittle, Zach Erts, they

disappointed in their rookie season. Go back 10 years to Rob Grunkowski, but remember Rob Grunkowski was available on waivers. He didn't break out until the second half of that 2010 season.

546 yards in 10 touchdowns in the second half.

And he peaked in his sophomore season.

1327 yards and seventeen touchdowns.

That's the best Rob Grunkovsky ever gave us.

Oh, is that a special season?

Oh!

Oh!

But then what happened?

Injured, injured, injured, injured, injured, injured, injured, injured,

never played 16 games thereafter.

That's the tight end position. It's the most violent fantasy

relevant position on the board and that's not a feel-based conclusion. That's

empirical. Empirical injury studies conducted at

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