Mind of Mansion 12-16-16
PlayerProfiler Fantasy Football Podcast Network
Fantasy Football Podcast from PlayerProfiler
4.4 • 2.5K Ratings
🗓️ 16 December 2016
⏱️ 81 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | And soo, The buzzards are learning, the buzzards are adapting. |
| 0:17.0 | The buzzards are adapting. And He writes, what do you think of my wide receiver running back prediction paradox theory? |
| 0:37.2 | It's easier to predict wide receivers than running backs for season long production, and |
| 0:42.4 | yet it's more difficult to predict wide receiver |
| 0:45.4 | production on a per week basis week to week. Well that's absolutely correct. |
| 0:51.0 | At Sands Bacon nailed it. |
| 0:53.4 | Apparently if you don't eat pig products, you get smarter. |
| 0:57.4 | Oh, look at him. He don't eat pork. Well, this guy is not eating pork and he understands fantasy football better than 99.99999999999999999% percent of fantasy gamers. |
| 1:12.0 | This strikes to the heart of the key theoretical |
| 1:15.7 | foundation for building redraft rosters and DFS rosters. He's distilled |
| 1:21.1 | it down to the crux of it all. It's very difficult to predict full season running back |
| 1:27.1 | performances year to year. Why? Because the running back position has a higher bust rate and a higher injury rate. |
| 1:33.0 | From one season to the next, you have less certainty about the production that you're going to receive from any given running back compared to any given wide receiver. |
| 1:42.0 | That notion is what the concept of anti-fragility and |
| 1:46.6 | zero R.B is built on. And the reverse is true when you're building your weekly DFS lineups. The position on the depth chart and the |
| 1:55.0 | matchup, those are the key predictors of running back production on a per week basis. |
| 2:02.0 | That's why this concept of the free square running back is much more prevalent |
| 2:06.2 | than the free square wide receiver. You have a new running back that's been elevated to the |
| 2:10.3 | primary back role for his team who will be facing a soft run defense that's a free square |
| 2:16.2 | when a wide receiver is elevated up the depth chart like we'll see this week with j. j. |
| 2:20.4 | Nelssohn being elevated to the starting lineup after the release of Michael Floyd, |
| 2:24.8 | the depth chart elevation and the corresponding matchup does not necessarily translate into additional |
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