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PlayerProfiler Fantasy Football Podcast Network

Mind of Mansion 11-7-19

PlayerProfiler Fantasy Football Podcast Network

Fantasy Football Podcast from PlayerProfiler

News, Leisure, Fantasy Sports, Sports News, Sports

4.42.5K Ratings

🗓️ 8 November 2019

⏱️ 84 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

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Transcript

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0:00.0

And the Oh, Not every problem has a solution and one of the great problems that we face in fantasy football is projecting running back target share.

0:36.2

It is one of the most difficult assumptions to zero in on in all of fantasy football

0:42.1

and we've all at one point in time got it wrong with a

0:46.7

running back and I surfaced this issue today because the most illuminating stat of week nine was the non-existence of a statistic from

0:57.0

Ezekiel Elliot on the receiving side of the box score. Zero targets, zero receptions for Ezekiel Elliot, and yes, it made

1:09.2

sense that this team was not throwing the ball in the second half. When you play the giants and you're

1:15.6

up double digits, the running back is not going to be hogging the targets.

1:20.6

Understood. But Ezekiel Elliot's target total on the season is one of the most instructive

1:27.7

statistics on player profiler.com.

1:31.0

31 targets this year for Ezekiel Elliot and you think oh wow that's number 20 in the league he's top 20 he's top 20

1:38.6

What the fuck does top 20 get you at the running back position, that means your last among primary

2:07.8

backs.

2:08.8

That's essentially what that means.

2:10.0

He's commanding less than four targets per game.

2:12.6

After commanding 6.3 targets per game last season,

2:16.5

he finished top five in the league in targets.

2:19.7

But Ezekiel Elliot is not an exceptional receiver.

2:23.5

And that's best illustrated by the fact

2:25.0

that he never went over 30 receptions in his college career.

2:28.0

And there is no magic bullet to project running back targets.

2:31.6

But the rule of thumb is this. If a running back is a truly

2:35.3

exceptional receiver, then most of the targets they've earned in the past should be

...

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