Mental Models #4: Second Order Thinking - Considering The Unexpected
Founder's Journal
Morning Brew
4.8 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 17 November 2021
⏱️ 8 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | What's up, everyone? This is Alex Lieberman, co-founder and executive chairman of Morning Brew. |
| 0:05.6 | Welcome back to Founders Journal, my personal audio diary, where I give you the business builder, |
| 0:11.0 | the tools you need to think better in order to build better, whether that's building a business, |
| 0:16.3 | a team, or a new product. We're doing things a little differently this week. We dropped our third |
| 0:21.5 | mini series, which means you got two episodes on Monday, two episodes today, and then two episodes |
| 0:27.6 | on Friday. You are listening to episode four in the series, but be sure to check out today's |
| 0:32.9 | classic episode as well. The theme of this week's mini series is mental models. We're going to talk |
| 0:39.4 | about some of the most powerful tools you can use to sharpen your thinking, prioritizing, and decision |
| 0:45.6 | making. Many of these tools have been made famous by leaders like Elon Musk and Dwight Eisenhower. |
| 0:51.7 | And today, I am talking about a mental model known as second order thinking. Let's hop into it. |
| 1:01.0 | Think about the best people that you have ever worked with. How would you describe them? |
| 1:06.6 | For me, here's what comes to mind. They are obsessive. They are a perfectionist. They think of |
| 1:13.7 | everything. They just get it. They think three steps ahead. They play for DHS. While illustrative, |
| 1:22.8 | none of these phrases get to the core of what actually makes a special employee or founder special. |
| 1:29.4 | And while I don't think you can sum it up in a single way, I do think there's a powerful mental |
| 1:34.1 | model that can make you the person that is obsessive or thinks three steps ahead. And that model |
| 1:39.7 | is called second order thinking. Very simply, first order thinking is considering the intended. |
| 1:46.4 | Second order thinking is considering the unintended. To be a great entrepreneur, investor, |
| 1:52.0 | or employee, you must learn how to become a great second order thinker. And Howard Marx, |
| 1:57.6 | who is the founder of Oak Tree Capital, and he's one of the most successful investors of all time, |
| 2:02.9 | he believes deeply in the power of second order thinking. So much so that the first chapter of |
| 2:08.0 | his book, which is called the most important thing, is entirely dedicated to what he calls second |
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