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TechCheck

Mega Discounts for Megacap Tech, Plus Microsoft CEO Testifies in Google Antitrust Trial 10/2/23

TechCheck

CNBC

Disruptors, Cnbc, Investing, Tech, Management, Business, Technology, Faang

4.566 Ratings

🗓️ 2 October 2023

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

After a big September selloff, megacap tech stocks might be cheap again. P/E ratios have fallen steeply and are at their biggest discount since Jan. 2017 as analysts continue to boost their earnings estimates for the next fiscal year, according to Goldman Sachs. Plus, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella today took the stand in the DOJ’s antitrust trial against Google, and explained why it’s so hard to compete against the tech giant’s search engine dominance.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Big Tech now trying to turn a corner after the worst month so far this year

0:05.9

but some analysts are now saying that's a buying opportunity that's the focus of

0:09.7

today's tech check with dear Durbosa. Morning day.

0:12.0

So on a price to earnings basis

0:14.3

mega cap tech it's arguably cheap again Apple Amazon Google and video the rest of

0:18.7

the Magnificent 7 they have been hit by rising yields over the last month or

0:22.2

so along with the rest of the market,

0:24.0

but their profit ratios have fallen harder.

0:27.0

Now, if you exclude those seven mega caps, the remaining S&P's 493 companies has seen its price to earnings ratio fall from 18 to 16.

0:36.2

Now if you look at the biggest names combined they've seen that metric fall far more steeply

0:40.6

from 34 to 27 times. Goldman Sachs uses this chart to put all

0:45.8

of that in historical perspective. The mega caps PEG ratio has fallen below that

0:51.0

orange line on the screen.

0:52.6

Its median since 2013,

0:54.5

and also the lowest versus the broader market

0:56.9

since early 2020, a discount that Golden says

0:59.8

has only been reached five times over the last decade.

1:03.0

Now, the main reason for that is fundamentals.

1:04.8

Higher yields make future earnings worth less,

1:06.9

but that should have more impact on high growth

1:09.9

unprofitable tech.

1:11.3

The mega caps are right now they're widely profitable

...

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