May 16, 2022: The West's new fear: What if Ukraine wins?

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🗓️ 16 May 2022

⏱️ 5 minutes

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Summary

Russia has faced a dizzying series of setbacks in its war with Ukraine over the last week: Sweden and Finland are being fast-tracked into NATO membership, which means Russia will soon share an 810-mile border with NATO. More from NYT Ukrainian troops pushed the Russians from the outskirts of Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second largest city, and are now approaching the Russian border. Latest from Reuters Russia suffered “catastrophic” losses during a failed river crossing on May 11, according to The Institute for the Study of War, which notes that “the military incompetence displayed in that crossing have shaken the confidence” of influential Russian military bloggers. The UK Ministry of Defense said that the Russian offensive in the eastern Donbas region, the focus of Russian firepower since its retreat from Kyiv, has “lost momentum and fallen significantly behind schedule.” The Brits also claimed that Putin has lost one-third of the troops he sent into Ukraine since the start of the February invasion. On Sunday, Jens Stoltenberg, NATO’s secretary general, summed up the implications of these developments: “Ukraine can win this war.” And that is exactly the problem according to a growing number of western officials and analysts who fear the fallout from what French President Emmanuel Macron called the “humiliation” of Russia. Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook newsletter Raghu Manavalan is the Host of POLITICO's Playbook.Jenny Ament is the Executive Producer of POLITICO Audio.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Presented by Facebook.
0:03.0	Hey, good morning, playbookers, and Raguamunovall, and it's Monday.
0:06.6	Today's show, The West's new fear.
0:08.4	What if Ukraine wins?
0:10.0	It's your Politico Playbook Daily briefing.
0:19.3	Russia has faced a dizzying series of setbacks in its war with Ukraine over the last week.
0:24.3	Sweden and Finland are being fast-tracked in a NATO membership, which means Russia will soon share an 810-mile border with NATO.
0:31.6	Ukrainian troops push the Russians from the outskirts of Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city, and are now approaching the Russian border.
0:37.8	Russia suffered, quote, catastrophic losses during the failed river crossing on May 11th,
0:41.8	according to the Institute for the Study of War, which notes that, quote, the military
0:45.6	incompetence displayed in that crossing may have shaken the confidence of influential military
0:50.9	bloggers.
0:51.9	The UK Ministry of Defense said that the Russian offensive in the eastern Donbass region,
0:56.4	the focus of Russian firepower since its retreat from Kiev, has, quote, lost momentum
1:00.5	and fallen significantly behind schedule.
1:02.7	The British also claimed that Putin has lost one-third of the troops he's sending to Ukraine
1:07.2	since the start of the February invasion.
1:09.8	On Sunday, Jan Stoltenberg, Native Secretary General, summed up the implications of these developments.
1:14.6	Ukraine can win this war.
1:16.6	And that is exactly the problem.
1:18.6	According to a growing number of Western officials and analysts who feared the fallout from what French President Emmanuel Macron called the humiliation of Russia.
1:28.0	Macron is not alone.
	...

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