It's May 10th. You're listening to the President's Daily Brief. I'm your host and former CIA officer Brian Dean Wright. Your morning intel starts now.

The brief you're about to hear is in the same spirit the actual President's Daily Brief, which is a top secret summary of the most critical events in the past 24 hours.

All delivered to the President each day by the nation spy masters and so ladies and gentlemen, I am your spy and this is your brief.

Here's what we're going to be talking about this morning. First up, the Biden administration is forecasting 100 million new COVID cases this winter and that could mean very bad news for America's kids.

We're going to talk about why your second brief, the governor of Texas says that his state shouldn't have to pay for the schooling of children here illegally.

We're going to talk about why he's making that case. And as always, I'm keeping an eye out for developing stories, put this one on your radar.

Inflation is up no surprise there, but how we're paying for it is and it's very bad news. We'll dive into the numbers all up next on the President's Daily Brief.

Your first piece of intel this morning, the White House is warning of a pretty sizable COVID surge starting this fall through the winter.

That could mean some serious restrictions are coming back with very disastrous consequences for our kids, but more on that in a second.

So here's what the White House is saying on Sunday, their COVID coordinator said that the US could see upwards of 100 million COVID infections through the winter, although their estimates are basically just guesses depending on which forecast they used.

Now, their assumption is that we're going to be hit by one of the two current variants that are floating around the country right now.

But those two variants are actually variants of the Omicron variant, not a variance there, but actually that's precisely what epidemiologists have long predicted, that they said that there would be lots of variants for three or four years until the virus settles down into one primary variant.

It's going to be looking for its sweet spot where on one hand it infects a lot of people and survives, but on the other hand it doesn't kill them, it doesn't kill their host.

So that's basically the balance that most viruses try to find at any rate.

The reason that this matters is not so much the bug itself or that 100 million people could be infected, but rather our reaction to all of it.

So if you were the president this morning, I would be briefing you on one particular over reaction, and that's shutting down schools and putting kids into remote learning.

Because there's a study out this morning from the nonpartisan bureau of economic research and my goodness the results are ugly.

Researchers looked at data from 2.1 million students in 10,000 schools in 49 states plus DC. Now that is a national survey.

So what they found was that when school districts went remote, academic achievement fell a lot.

Now the study got into standard deviations and used a lot of fancy language that you'd have to have a PhD to understand, but here's the key takeaway.

The academic scores fell for all students in remote learning, regardless of race or class.

In other words, there isn't much learning in remote learning as you'd hope.

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