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Money For the Rest of Us

Mastering the Market Cycle—New Book by Howard Marks

Money For the Rest of Us

J. David Stein

Investing, Investing Podcast, Business, Economics, Economy

4.51.4K Ratings

🗓️ 3 October 2018

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#224 How to position your investment portfolio based on market cycles. Investing principles from Howard Marks' new book Mastering the Market Cycle. Thanks to CNote and LinkedIn and for sponsoring today's episode.

For show notes and more information on this episode click here.

  • [0:11] Howard Marks’ new book is the inspiration for this episode of Money For the Rest of Us
  • [7:13] The first tool in learning how to invest during a market cycle
  • [11:49] The second tool in learning how to invest during a market cycle
  • [18:00] Successful investing involves a mix of skill and luck
  • [25:30] There’s no way of knowing where the bottom of a market may be
  • [26:30] We are not in a period of extreme risk or opportunity in today’s US economy

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Money for the rest of us. This is a personal finance show on money, how it works, how to invest it and how to live without worrying about it.

0:10.0

I'm your host, David Stein. Today is episode 224. It's titled Mastering the Market Cycle.

0:19.5

And that title is the title of a brand new book by Howard Marks, the investor he's the co-founder of

0:27.4

Oak Tree Capital. The book came out today October 2nd 2018 I downloaded it on my Kindle, read it in one setting and I want to

0:37.8

share some of the principles that I learned from the book. Howard Marks is one of my virtual investment mentors.

0:46.6

I have followed his work for years

0:49.8

at my former investment advisory firm. I invested a number of my clients, my college

0:56.1

endowment clients in Oak Trees distressed debt funds. I have visited their shop on site in Southern California.

1:06.8

Howard Marks has spoken at my firm's client conference. In the past I've met him once

1:11.6

but he doesn't know who I am but we can still learn from investors like them and I want to

1:19.3

Share some of the important insights that I garnered from the book because it very much is in line

1:26.1

with how I invest and how I have invested for several decades now.

1:32.1

To kick it off, there was an article last week by Jason Zweig in the Wall Street Journal,

1:40.0

and it talked about how the dumb money, the dumb money is us.

1:45.0

Individual retail investors as opposed to that that's that's the term

1:51.0

the smart money, hedge funds supposedly institutional investors, that's

1:58.8

from they apply to us to individual investors.

2:01.3

I don't think, sometimes it's't think sometimes it's not. In this

2:06.2

particular article Jason Zweig is pointing out that the retail money has been

2:11.1

moving from U.S. stocks to non-U.S. stocks for a number of years now.

2:20.0

He points out that over the past 10 years, as U.S. stocks hugely outperformed, that investors

2:30.1

took $34 billion out of U.S. funds and added a trillion to international.

...

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