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Political Fix

Martin Wolf on the UK economy: ‘Why I’m worried’

Political Fix

Financial Times

News, Politics, News & Politics

4.21.2K Ratings

🗓️ 14 October 2024

⏱️ 43 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

What kind of economy did Labour inherit this summer, and how does Britain measure up to international comparators? Political Fix host Lucy Fisher sits down with Martin Wolf to examine the strengths and weaknesses inherent in the UK’s economy as Rachel Reeves prepares for her seismic first Budget on October 30. Wolf assesses the options facing the chancellor on tax, spending and debt. 


Want more? Free links:


Keir Starmer vows to rip up bureaucracy to unleash ‘shock and awe’ of investment


Rachel Reeves’s Budget must rescue Britain from its growth trap


Reeves struggles to escape from self-imposed restraints


Rachel Reeves needs a credible growth plan


You too can step into the chancellor’s shoes and find out if you can run the UK economy with the FT’s new Budget game. Go to ft.com/chancellor-game and play from Tuesday, October 15


Follow Lucy on X @LOS_Fisher


Sign up for 30 free days of Stephen Bush's Inside Politics newsletter, winner of the World Association of News Publishers 2023 ‘Best Newsletter’ award: 

https://ft.com/insidepoliticsoffer


Presented by Lucy Fisher. The executive producer is Manuela Saragosa. Audio mix and original music by Breen Turner. The FT’s head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. 


Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com


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Transcript

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0:00.0

BP is working to bring more lower carbon energy to the UK, like designing two hydrogen plants,

0:06.2

and we're keeping oil and gas flowing from the North Sea. It's and not all. That's how BP is backing Britain.

0:13.0

While today we're mostly in oil and gas we increased the proportion of our

0:17.0

global annual investment that went into our lower carbon and other transition businesses

0:21.0

from around 3% in 2019 to around 23% in 2023.

0:26.4

VP.com slash and not all. Hello and welcome to political fix from the Financial Times. I'm Lucy Fisher.

0:42.1

Now as promised we have an extra

0:44.8

episode this week and I've been really looking forward to it. In the studio I'm

0:49.0

joined by the FT's chief economics commentator Martin Wolf for this pre-budget special examining the UK economy in depth.

0:56.7

Martin, welcome.

0:57.7

It's a pleasure to be with you.

0:58.9

Now there's a huge amount to discuss, but I thought to begin with I'd ask you a very broad brush question.

1:04.4

We know Labour came to power just over a hundred days ago.

1:08.4

A lot has been made about their fiscal inheritance and will come onto that but I

1:12.2

wanted to start by talking about their economic inheritance.

1:15.0

As we're talking in autumn 2024, tell us about the state of the UK economy

1:21.0

and how it compares to other major European economies and to say the US?

1:26.0

Well I suppose the single most important fact which was summarized very very well in the latest green budget from the Institute for Fiscal Studies,

1:37.0

is that productivity growth has been very close to zero for a very long time. So over the last decade, since roughly 2014,

1:49.2

productivity output per worker is essentially stagnated. It looks as though this is the worst

1:56.0

decayed since the middle of the 19th century except for the decay that included the

2:02.4

First World War and the Spanish flu.

...

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