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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Markets Update: 2021 Global Growth Outlook

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 8 January 2021

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

As part of a client call hosted on January 8th, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs’ chief economist, talks about why his team continues to forecast above-consensus growth for 2021, despite the weak US jobs report for December.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to our exchanges at Goldman Sachs markets update for Friday, January 8th.

0:09.2

Each week we check them with a leader across the firm to get a quick take on what they're watching in markets.

0:14.1

I'm Jake Stewart, Global Head of Corporate Communications here at the firm, and today we're sharing

0:18.8

a segment of a client call that was hosted earlier today. The call was titled the Biden agenda,

0:25.1

perspectives on the 2021 policy priorities. And for this markets update

0:30.2

podcast we'll hear from Jan Hatzius, the firm's chief economist on his

0:34.1

outlook for the global economy in 2021 under the Biden administration. The

0:38.7

conversation was moderated by Joe Wall who works in our Goldman Sachs Office of Government Affairs.

0:44.0

Now, over to Joe.

0:46.1

I would like to bring in one of my colleagues at the firm, Jan Hatzius.

0:50.3

Jan is the head of the Global Investment research division in the firm's chief economist.

0:54.4

Yahn, hello, and good morning.

0:56.0

Good morning.

0:57.0

Good to see you.

0:58.0

Thank you.

0:59.5

You came into the year with a clearly above consensus growth forecast.

1:04.0

However, today's U.S. Unemployment report showed a 140,000 payroll decline in December,

1:11.0

the first drop since April. How much does today's number were you?

1:15.0

Well, it certainly illustrates that the coronavirus escalation that we've seen over the last couple of months,

1:22.0

the third wave, if you look at it at a... that we've seen over the last couple of months.

1:23.0

The third wave, if you look at it at a national level,

1:26.0

is having significant negative effects.

...

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