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MarketFoolery

MarketFoolery: 07.31.2012

MarketFoolery

The Motley Fool

Money, Business, Motley, Business News, Stocks, News, Investing, Market, Fool

4.71.7K Ratings

🗓️ 31 July 2012

⏱️ 21 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The manager of the world's biggest bond fund says stock investors should expect smaller returns in the future. BP and Coach report larger-than-expected losses. And Pfizer reports a larger-than-expected gain.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Tuesday, July 31st. Welcome to Market Fullery. I'm Chris Ellen joining me in

0:06.1

studio today for a million dollar portfolio Charlie Travers. From Motley

0:09.6

Full 1, Jason Moser and for Mot Motley Inside Value, Joe Maker.

0:13.2

Gentlemen, happy Tuesday.

0:14.7

Hello, and we, earnings Palusa just rolls along.

0:18.2

We've got earnings from BP, Pfizer, and Coach,

0:21.0

but we are going to start today with one of the big names in investing and that's

0:24.8

Bill Gross. For those who may not know, Bill Gross is the co-founder of PIMCO and he runs the

0:30.8

largest bond fund in the world and in his latest monthly letter

0:35.0

he shares his belief that future stock returns will be lower and Joe I'll start

0:40.8

with you I'm not going to read his entire letter

0:42.8

because frankly, we don't have that kind of time.

0:46.0

But he basically says when you factor in the slowing GDP growth

0:50.8

and sort of you look over the last four decades and how we've gotten this

0:54.7

historical real return of about six and a half percent in the stock market when you

0:59.4

back out inflation that sort of thing he basically says that can't happen anymore. That's just not

1:05.2

going to happen. Before we get into what we should expect, what did you think when you saw the letter? I wasn't shocked. I mean

1:16.0

Bill Gross has long been a proponent and PIMCO of this new normal so that the

1:20.5

economy has slowed down and that we're not going back to kind of where we were say

1:25.2

eight, nine years ago.

1:26.6

I do disagree with this take and maybe not surprising, he's a bond guy and I'm a stock

1:32.0

guy, but over the last 30 years, this is the first rolling 30 year period where bonds outperformed stocks since the Civil War.

...

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