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The Playbook Podcast

March 2, 2020

The Playbook Podcast

POLITICO

News, Daily News, Politics, Government

3.9699 Ratings

🗓️ 2 March 2020

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Democratic primary becomes a two-man race, what Republicans want to see from the White House's coronavirus response and more in today's Audio Briefing.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Stay tuned after the show for a message from Google.

0:04.4

Good Monday morning. I'm Anna Palmer and welcome to your Politico Playbook audio briefing.

0:09.0

Pete Buttigieg's decision to abandon his presidential run has opened up a new phase in the contest,

0:15.3

in which the remaining candidates that are not named Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are going to be under tremendous pressure to end

0:22.5

their campaign. You're going to hear people say it's not fair, and perhaps it's not, but it is clear

0:28.8

at this point that this is a two-man race between Biden and Sanders. The two outcomes this week

0:35.7

will highlight the splintered nature of the Democratic Party.

0:39.2

Situation 1. Sanders sweeps through Super Tuesday, keeping Biden at bay in California and inching

0:45.5

closer to the Democratic nomination. This situation will send red-faced establishment figures

0:51.1

through the roof. Situation 2. Biden makes headwayway cleaning up in the South and Virginia and overperforming

0:58.4

in California and Texas, which could keep him within 150 delegates from Sanders.

1:03.9

In that case, Biden's campaign believes it enters into friendlier territory, Florida, Georgia,

1:09.9

and other states where Biden is polling well.

1:12.8

The prospect of a contested convention will drive Bernie supporters nuts because they believe

1:18.0

party rules are stacked against them.

1:20.7

Steve Kranaki of NBC says that the best case scenario for Biden is that he gets out of this

1:26.0

week 61 delegates behind Bernie.

1:29.4

590 to 529, a situation Cornacki calculated by assuming Biden gets 19% of the vote in California,

1:37.5

wins big across the south, does well in Massachusetts, Minnesota, and Colorado, and keeps it

1:43.0

close in Texas.

1:48.5

There are a range of scenarios he looked at, including if Biden misses the threshold for delegates in California, which would have burning up by roughly 300 delegates.

1:52.9

300 is huge and likely uncatchable.

...

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