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Macro Voices

MacroVoices #218 Lakshman Achuthan: What cycles teach us about what to expect post coronavirus

Macro Voices

Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Investing, Business, Business:investing

4.83.4K Ratings

🗓️ 7 May 2020

⏱️ 98 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Lakshman Achuthan to the show to discuss what cycle need to be focused on during this crisis, the three D’s of recession, and what economic cycles teach us about what to expect next. Link: https://bit.ly/2Wce4dY

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is Macro Voices with hedge fund manager Eric Townsend, the free weekly financial

0:14.2

podcast targeting professional finance, high net worth individuals, family offices, and

0:20.0

other sophisticated investors. Macro Voices is all about the brightest minds in the world

0:25.5

of finance and macroeconomics telling it like it is. Bullish your bearish, no holds

0:30.8

barred. Now here are your hosts, Eric Townsend and Patrick Sarasna.

0:37.8

Macro Voices episode 218 was recorded on May 7, 2020. I'm Eric Townsend. This episode

0:44.8

of Macro Voices is dedicated to healthcare workers worldwide, the true heroes of the

0:50.1

COVID-19 pandemic crisis. It is brought to you by top traders on plug.com, a podcast dedicated

0:57.0

to quant and rules based investing, helping investors overcome behavioral biases.

1:03.2

Economic Cycles Guru Lakshman Achuthan, founder of the Economic Cycles Research Institute,

1:10.5

Ekri. Will join me as this week's feature interview guest. We'll discuss what economic

1:15.5

cycles teach us about recessions which are driven by exogenous shock events and what

1:21.2

we might expect the recovery from the COVID-19 recession to look like. We'll also discuss

1:26.8

longer term cycles, including the shift from secular deflation to secular inflation or

1:33.0

stagflation and the outlook for US-China relations after the crisis. Then be sure to stay

1:40.7

tuned for our post-game segment when we'll take another deep dive into the crude oil market

1:47.0

and discuss the epic reversal in WTI time spritz, what it means for both on land and floating

1:54.6

storage as well as the price outlook for next week's options expiration.

2:00.7

And I'm Patrick Sarasna. Now listeners will have a detailed update of the COVID-19 coronavirus

2:05.3

crisis in our post-game segment after the feature interview. Now Eric, let's dive into

2:10.0

that S&P 500. No sooner did we finish recording last week. Did that Friday the S&P dive to

2:15.9

the downside and spend more or less all week retracing some of that? We're about 2876 on

...

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