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Macro Voices

MacroVoices #175 Jesse Felder: Breadth divergences signal caution warranted on new all-time highs

Macro Voices

Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Business, Investing, Business:investing

4.83.4K Ratings

🗓️ 11 July 2019

⏱️ 88 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jesse Felder to MacroVoices. Erik and Jesse discuss the theories on the length of this market cycle, outlook on the dollar and bond yields, and the unwind of institutional risk parity trade and much more. Link: http://bit.ly/2xKZugy

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is Macro Voices with hedge fund manager Eric Townsend, the free weekly financial

0:14.2

podcast targeting professional finance, high net worth individuals, family offices, and

0:20.0

other sophisticated investors. Macro Voices is all about the brightest minds in the world

0:25.5

of finance and macroeconomics telling it like it is. Bullish your bearish, no holds

0:30.8

barred. Now here are your hosts, Eric Townsend and Patrick Sarasna.

0:37.0

Macro Voices Episode 175 was recorded on July 11, 2019. I'm Eric Townsend. This episode

0:43.9

of Macro Voices is brought to you by top traders onplod.com, the leading podcast when it

0:49.4

comes to systematic trading and investing. Former hedge fund manager Jesse Felder returns

0:55.1

as this week's feature interview guest. We'll discuss the stock market, bond yields,

0:59.5

golds breakout, and Jesse's concerns about surveillance, capitalism, and Facebook's

1:05.1

Libra Digital Currency. Be sure to stay tuned for our post-game segment after the feature

1:10.0

interview when we'll have extended equity market coverage with another of Patrick's

1:15.0

famous chart books. And I'm Patrick Sarasna. Now Eric, let's dive right into this S&P 500

1:20.6

making all-time new highs. What's going on? Well, you know, I have very low directional

1:26.3

conviction at this point, Patrick. We're seeing such clear evidence that what's in control

1:31.7

here is what I call the bad is the new good doctrine. The reason that the S&P ripped vertically

1:39.2

higher to new all-time highs on Wednesday morning was because the Federal Reserve chairman

1:44.5

said very clearly that the economic outlook is getting worse. And of course, the mechanism

1:51.6

is easy to understand here. People anticipate that a worsening economic outlook means

1:57.0

that there's going to be more accommodative monetary policy. And they know that this market

2:01.4

actually operates on liquidity, not economic fundamentals. If there's more injection of

2:06.8

stimulus, that money's got to go somewhere. It'll go into asset markets because that's

...

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