Macro: A Framework for Truth ( w/ Raoul Pal & Lyn Alden )
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
Real Vision
4.1 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 10 January 2021
⏱️ 62 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
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| 0:00.0 | And then welcome back to Real Vision. It's the first time you and I have actually sat down to chat. |
| 0:14.0 | So I'm really looking forward to it. |
| 0:16.0 | Yeah, nice to have me. It's great to meet you. |
| 0:18.0 | Can you give people a bit of background about yourself, just so those who aren't familiar with you know a bit more about you? |
| 0:25.8 | Yeah sure my background blends kind of engineering and finance so I've been investing since I was like you know really young but my career path started and out in engineering and then I |
| 0:35.2 | graduated shifted more towards kind of engineering management and engineering the |
| 0:38.9 | managing the finances of engineering facility while shifting more and more into applying that kind of |
| 0:44.0 | quantitative background to finance investing. So that's kind of how I approach things in a |
| 0:49.2 | pretty quantitative way. And so what do you do now exactly? |
| 0:53.0 | So I run Lynnalln.com, which is a research firm, so I have a free newsletter and then I have a paid service that, you know, it's kind of, um, it has a blend of, uh, you know,'s kind of um it has a blend of you know kind of high net worth retail |
| 1:05.9 | investors like retirees and then all up to the professional investors so kind of a |
| 1:10.4 | lot of it kind of take some of the complex kind of macro topics that might be more covered in institutional research and then distills them for a broader audience. That's kind of the main focus. |
| 1:19.0 | So how did you get into macro to start with what we're out of engineering which is a detailed discipline process into macro which is a broader process how why did that happen? |
| 1:30.3 | It was a gradual transition because so I actually started more in individual stock analysis and I still do that because I feel like the bottom-up analysis and the top-down analysis they help inform each other. So sometimes the bottom level analysis can inform my view of the top as well. |
| 1:46.4 | But I started out in the individual stocks, but I you know over the years I realized that we're in a very |
| 1:51.4 | macro heavy environment. |
| 1:53.0 | It's kind of, you know, I referred to as the end of a long-term debt cycle or, you know, fourth turning. |
| 1:58.4 | You can kind of call it different ways, kind of a large kind of transition. |
| 2:03.3 | And so I realize that, you know, the individual stock analysis |
| 2:06.4 | is only capturing a part of the picture |
| 2:07.9 | and that I really have to look at macro |
| 2:10.2 | and to kind of move assets around kind of big, you know, |
... |
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